Bhumjaithai govt.‘Very Strong and Stable’, Kla Tham Kept Outside Coalition to teach them a ‘Lesson’

As the opposition is set to announce the planned censure motion today, sources in the ruling Bhumjaithai-led government say that they are not bothered about the no-confidence debate that is set to be put forward later this month.

Sources in the party say that the government remains “very, very strong and stable” and there is currently nothing that can rock the government.

“We are very, very strong and stable. There is nothing that can rock the government at the moment,” the very highly placed source in the party said.

The source said the government is not concerned about the possibility of censure debate, protests or anything else.

The source also pointed to continued parliamentary support from members of the opposition as evidence of the government’s strength.

“We even have 58 votes from the opposition that continues to vote for us despite being in the opposition,” the source said.

The latest budget vote provided a clear example of that cross-party support. The House approved the FY2027 budget bill, worth 3.788 trillion baht, by 338 votes to 144, with two abstentions. The government’s established parliamentary base was reported at 292 MPs, while 56 Kla Tham MPs from outside the coalition voted in favour of the budget, providing a significant additional bloc of support. Two MPs from Thai Sang Thai also voted for the bill.

Kla Tham remains outside — for now

Despite the continued parliamentary cooperation, the Bhumjaithai leadership does not currently intend to bring Kla Tham into the coalition, the source said.

The source said Bhumjaithai would be “more than happy” to have Kla Tham become a coalition partner, but that the party first needs to “be taught a lesson” over what Bhumjaithai considers a breach of an agreement between the two parties before the 2026 election.

According to the source, Bhumjaithai and Kla Tham had reached an understanding over constituencies in which the two parties would compete. The source alleged that Bhumjaithai honoured its side of that understanding by abstaining from fielding candidates in certain areas, while Kla Tham subsequently fielded candidates in constituencies where the parties had agreed it would not do so.

“Kla Tham breached our agreement by fielding candidates in various parts of the country where we had agreed pre-election,” the source said.

“We abstained and abided by our side of the agreement, and for this they need to be taught a lesson. That is why they remain outside the coalition for now.”

Kla Tham has publicly denied that there are currently talks to join the Bhumjaithai-led government. On September 24, party spokesperson Attakorn Sirilattayakorn said there had been no discussions on joining the coalition and that any such negotiations would be handled by party leader Thammanat Prompow.

Bhumjaithai itself has also publicly maintained that the existing coalition remains unchanged. Party spokesperson Nan Bunyathida said on September 22 that there had been no discussion within the party about bringing Kla Tham into the government and that the coalition parties remained those already publicly announced.

Any future deal would come at a political cost

The Bhumjaithai source said the door remains open to Kla Tham joining the government, but stressed that such a move would require a renegotiation of ministerial positions.

Under the source’s description of the proposed arrangement, Kla Tham could not simply enter the coalition and take ministries currently allocated to Pheu Thai.

“If Kla Tham is to join the coalition, then they will need to come under our quota,” the source said.

That would mean Bhumjaithai itself would have to reduce the number of ministers it currently controls to accommodate Kla Tham ministers.

The source said there was another possible route: if Pheu Thai were to agree to Kla Tham joining the coalition, the additional cabinet allocation would effectively fall under Pheu Thai’s quota, meaning Pheu Thai would have to surrender some of its own ministerial positions to accommodate Kla Tham.

“They cannot be going and taking the ministries from Pheu Thai unless Pheu Thai itself goes and brings them onboard,” the source said.

“If Pheu Thai brings them in, then the quota would go to Pheu Thai, and they would need to give up their ministries to accommodate Kla Tham.”

Cooperation without coalition membership

The situation leaves Kla Tham in an unusual parliamentary position: formally outside the government but providing substantial support on key votes.

The FY2027 budget vote demonstrated the importance of that support. While the government coalition’s reported base was 292 MPs, the final 338 votes in favour represented an additional 46 votes, with Kla Tham accounting for the overwhelming majority of that additional support.

The Bhumjaithai source suggested that the government therefore has little immediate incentive to rush into a formal coalition arrangement with Kla Tham.

The government can continue to rely on cooperation from MPs outside the coalition on important parliamentary business while keeping the question of formal coalition membership open.

For now, according to the source, the message from Bhumjaithai’s leadership is straightforward: Kla Tham remains welcome as a potential future coalition partner, but it will have to wait — and any eventual entry would require a new political and ministerial arrangement.

I have deliberately kept the source anonymous and attributed the allegations about the pre-election agreement to the source rather than stating them as established fact. The distinction is particularly important because Kla Tham has publicly denied that coalition talks are currently taking place, while Bhumjaithai has also publicly said its coalition remains unchanged.

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Opinion: The ministerial price of bringing Kla Tham into government

反对党将于今日宣布计划提出的不信任动议，执政的泰自豪党领导的政府内部消息人士称，他们并不担心本月晚些时候提出的不信任辩论。

党内消息人士称，政府依然“非常非常强大稳定”，目前没有任何事能够动摇政府。

“我们非常非常强大稳定。目前没有任何事情能够动摇政府，”一位党内高层人士表示。

消息人士称，政府并不担心可能出现的谴责辩论、抗议或其他任何事情。

消息人士还指出，反对党议员持续在议会中给予支持，这证明了政府的实力。

消息人士称：“我们甚至还有 58 位反对派人士继续投票支持我们，尽管他们是反对派。”

最新预算案投票清晰地展现了跨党派支持。国会以338票赞成、144票反对、2票弃权的表决结果通过了总额达3.788万亿泰铢的2027财年预算案。据报道，执政联盟在议会拥有292个席位，而来自执政联盟之外的56名克拉坦党议员也投了赞成票，为预算案提供了重要的额外支持。此外，泰桑泰党的两名议员也投了赞成票。

Kla Tham目前仍被拒之门外

消息人士称，尽管议会方面继续保持合作，但泰自豪党领导层目前并不打算将克拉坦党纳入联盟。

消息人士称，泰自豪党“非常乐意”让克拉坦党成为联盟伙伴，但该党首先需要“受到教训”，因为泰自豪党认为该党违反了双方在2026年大选前达成的协议。

据消息人士透露，泰自豪党和克拉坦党曾就两党各自参与竞争的选区达成共识。消息人士称，泰自豪党信守了这一共识，在某些地区没有推出候选人；而克拉坦党随后却在双方此前约定不推出候选人的选区推出了候选人。

消息人士称：“克拉·塔姆违反了我们的协议，在我们事先约定的选举地点，在全国各地推出了候选人。”

“我们投了弃权票，遵守了协议，他们应该为此受到教训。这就是为什么他们目前仍被排除在联合政府之外的原因。”

克拉·塔姆公开否认目前正在进行加入泰自豪党领导的联合政府的谈判。9月24日，该党发言人阿塔空·西里拉塔亚空表示，从未就加入联合政府进行过任何讨论，任何此类谈判都将由党魁塔玛纳·普罗姆波负责。

泰自豪党也公开表示，现有执政联盟保持不变。该党发言人南·布尼亚提达9月22日表示，党内并未讨论过让克拉坦党加入政府，执政联盟的政党仍然是此前已公开宣布的那些。

任何未来的协议都将付出政治代价。

《泰自豪报》的消息人士称，克拉·塔姆加入政府的大门仍然敞开，但强调此举需要重新谈判部长职位。

根据消息人士对拟议安排的描述，克拉谭党不能简单地加入联盟并接管目前分配给为泰党的部委。

消息人士称：“如果克拉坦要加入联盟，那么他们就需要接受我们的配额。”

这意味着泰自豪党本身必须减少其目前控制的部长人数，以容纳克拉坦的部长。

消息人士称还有另一种可能的途径：如果为泰党同意克拉谭党加入联盟，那么新增的内阁席位实际上将归为为泰党的配额，这意味着为泰党将不得不放弃自己的一些部长职位来接纳克拉谭党。

消息人士称：“除非为泰党主动邀请他们加入，否则他们不可能从为泰党手中夺走这些部门。”

“如果为泰党接纳他们，那么配额就归为为泰党，他们就需要放弃自己的部门来接纳克拉探党。”

不加入联盟的合作

这种情况使克拉·塔姆在议会中处于一种不寻常的境地：名义上不在政府之内，但在关键投票中提供了实质性的支持。

2027财年预算案的投票结果凸显了这种支持的重要性。尽管政府联盟公布的议员基础是292人，但最终获得的338张赞成票实际上增加了46张，其中克拉塔姆（Kla Tham）贡献了绝大多数新增支持。

《泰自豪报》的消息人士称，因此，政府目前没有太多动力急于与克拉坦党达成正式的联合执政协议。

政府可以继续依靠联合政府以外的议员在重要的议会事务上进行合作，同时保持正式联合政府成员资格问题的开放性。

据消息人士透露，目前泰自豪党领导层的信息很明确：克拉坦仍然欢迎成为未来潜在的联盟伙伴，但它必须等待——而且任何最终的加入都需要新的政治和部长级安排。

我特意隐去了消息来源的姓名，并将有关选前协议的指控归于该消息来源，而非将其作为既定事实陈述。这种区别尤为重要，因为克拉坦党已公开否认目前正在进行组阁谈判，而泰自豪党也已公开表示其执政联盟保持不变。

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观点：让克拉·坦进入政府的部长级代价