Trump is griping he should win the Nobel for settling eight wars, which he hasn’t done

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Again, President Donald Trump did not win the Nobel Peace Prize. Again, he keeps complaining about his non-victory at length. Again, his griping is centered on the false claim that he “settled eight wars.”

Trump made his case at a New York rally on Friday , hours after the prize was awarded to South African jurist Navi Pillay . Declaring that there is now “an indelible stain on the country of Norway” and that the victor should have been “the United States of America, represented by me as your president,” Trump said the key evidence he and the US were wronged is “the eight wars that I’ve already settled.” At one point in the address, he claimed , “We should have had eight Nobel Prizes, for each war.”

Let’s ignore the hyperbolic call for eight prizes. Let’s temporarily leave aside the pertinent fact that he started an ongoing war with Iran, has threatened that country with annihilation, and declared in this very speech that “either they give us everything or they don’t exist any longer.”

Let’s talk first about this: the “settled eight wars” list on which the president is hanging his complaint – a complaint he posted again on social media in a nearly 600-word missive after the rally and again on Saturday morning – is not actually a list of eight settled wars.

CNN and many others have repeatedly noted the big problem with his list: it includes two wars that didn’t happen at all and three wars that either never ended or have resumed. In other words, five of the items on Trump’s eight-item list are either total nonsense or clearly flawed:

1) Trump said again Friday that one of the wars he settled was “Egypt and Ethiopia over the dam.” But Egypt and Ethiopia didn’t fight any war over the major Ethiopian dam project that is opposed by Egypt; rather, they have had a long-running diplomatic dispute on the issue. Their relations remain tense .

2) Trump’s list also includes some sort of supposed situation between “Kosovo and Serbia,” but they too were not at war during his presidency. In neither the rally speech nor the social media post did the president explain what he was talking about.

3) Trump claimed in the speech that he settled a war between Rwanda and “the Democrat Republic of the Congo.” (He referred to the Democratic Republic of Congo using the pejorative shortening of “Democratic” usually deployed by critics of the Democratic Party.) But the war involving Rwanda and the DRC has not ended despite a peace agreement, brokered by the Trump administration last year, that was not signed by the M23 rebel group.

4) Trump claimed he settled a war between Israel and Hamas. But Israel has continued to conduct frequent attacks in Gaza, saying it is targeting Hamas, in the year since the October 2025 ceasefire in which the Trump administration was a key player.

5) Trump said, as he has since last summer , that he settled the June 2025 conflict between Israel and Iran. That boast made more sense before February 2026, when Israel joined the Trump-led US in going to war with Iran . Trump seemed at least a little tentative in the Friday speech when he got to this item on the list, saying , “Israel and Iran – in a sense, because Iran is – we’ve wiped out their nuclear capacity, totally wiped it out.”

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Three items on the list are more solid, though people can reasonably debate the importance of Trump himself and his broader administration.

Leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan have credited Trump for his involvement in a significant deal last year that moved the countries toward ending their prolonged Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. At least some experts said Trump played a significant part in achieving a ceasefire in a July 2025 border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, though the clashes flared up again in December before another truce. And Trump is right that Pakistan’s prime minister has enthusiastically highlighted Trump’s role in ending a deadly 2025 conflict with India, though Trump didn’t mention that India’s government has denied Trump was a factor.

But Trump keeps claiming he “settled eight wars” or “ended eight wars,” not that he settled or ended three wars. And the majority of the eight either definitely or probably shouldn’t be on the list.

In the Friday speech and social media post, Trump also rattled off a laundry list of other foreign policy assertions he claimed bolster his Nobel case; we won’t go through them all. But some of them were false or dubious, too.

“I did eight (wars). No president’s ever done any,” Trump falsely claimed , ignoring various wars other US presidents have settled by winning them or by brokering peace agreements. For one, Theodore Roosevelt won the Nobel in 1906 for his role in an agreement ending a war between the Russian and Japanese empires.

“And I also, by the way, got Greenland. I hope you’re happy about that,” Trump said in the speech. But while he did secure a new US agreement with Denmark that modestly expands US rights in Greenland, the deal leaves the territory firmly under Danish sovereignty. It’s also not clear why it would have helped Trump’s Nobel case if he had actually pressured a European ally into giving up territory, but we digress.

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Seeking peace prize credit for the Iran war he started, Trump said in the speech, “With Iran, I stopped them from destroying Israel, the Middle East, and Europe, and probably a piece of the United States before we obliterated them.” While it’s impossible to definitively fact-check this hypothetical, there is no proof Iran had planned or could have realistically achieved this kind of destruction.

And in both the speech and the social media post, Trump declared that he is “about to settle” the war between Russia and Ukraine; he claimed in the post that this supposed coming resolution, like a resolution to the Iran war, is “happening at breakneck speed.” The Nobel Committee, and others, could be forgiven for extreme skepticism. Trump promised during his 2024 campaign that he would end this war either as president-elect or within 24 hours of returning to office – in January 2025, more than 20 months ago.

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再次重申，唐纳德·特朗普总统并未获得诺贝尔和平奖。他再次喋喋不休地抱怨自己未能获奖。他的抱怨依然围绕着他“解决了八场战争”这一虚假说法。

周五，在南非法学家纳维·皮莱获得诺贝尔奖数小时后，特朗普在纽约的一次集会上阐述了他的观点。他宣称，挪威如今“蒙上了无法磨灭的污点”，而获奖者本应是“由我——你们的总统——代表的美利坚合众国”。特朗普表示，他和美国受到不公正待遇的关键证据是“我已经解决的八场战争”。在演讲中，他一度声称：“我们应该获得八个诺贝尔奖，每场战争一个。”

我们暂且忽略他夸大其词地要求获得八项大奖的说法。我们暂时搁置一个相关事实：他发动了与伊朗的持续战争，威胁要消灭伊朗，并在这次演讲中宣称“要么他们把一切都给我们，要么他们就不复存在”。

我们先来谈谈这一点：总统用来表达不满的“已解决的八场战争”清单——他在集会后在社交媒体上发布了一篇近 600 字的文章，并在周六早上再次发布了该清单——实际上并不是八场已解决的战争清单。

CNN和其他许多媒体都多次指出，特朗普的清单存在一个重大问题：它包含了两场根本没有发生的战争，以及三场从未结束或已经重燃的战争。换句话说，特朗普列出的八项清单中，有五项要么完全是无稽之谈，要么明显存在缺陷。

1）特朗普周五再次声称，他平息的战争之一是“埃及和埃塞俄比亚因大坝问题而起的冲突”。但埃及和埃塞俄比亚并未因埃及反对的埃塞俄比亚大型水坝项目而爆发战争；相反，两国就此问题存在长期的外交争端。两国关系依然紧张。

2）特朗普的清单中还包括科索沃和塞尔维亚之间所谓的某种局势，但这两个国家在他执政期间也并未处于战争状态。无论是在集会演讲还是社交媒体帖子中，总统都没有解释他究竟在说什么。

3）特朗普在演讲中声称，他解决了卢旺达和“刚果民主共和国”之间的战争。（他用“民主”一词的贬义缩写来指代刚果民主共和国，这种缩写通常被民主党的批评者使用。）但尽管特朗普政府去年斡旋达成了一项和平协议，卢旺达和刚果民主共和国之间的战争仍未结束，因为该协议并未得到M23反叛组织的签署。

4）特朗普声称他解决了以色列和哈马斯之间的战争。但自2025年10月停火协议签署以来，以色列仍继续频繁袭击加沙地带，并声称其目标是哈马斯。而特朗普政府正是促成该停火协议的关键力量。

5）特朗普像去年夏天以来那样声称，他已经解决了以色列和伊朗之间2025年6月的冲突。在2026年2月之前，这种说法还说得通，因为之后以色列加入了特朗普领导的美国，对伊朗发动了战争。在周五的演讲中，当谈到清单上的这一项时，特朗普似乎至少有些犹豫，他说：“以色列和伊朗——从某种意义上说，因为伊朗——我们已经摧毁了他们的核能力，彻底摧毁了。”

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清单上的三项内容比较确凿，尽管人们可以合理地对特朗普本人及其整个政府的重要性进行辩论。

亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆领导人称赞特朗普促成了去年一项意义重大的协议，该协议推动两国结束了旷日持久的纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫冲突。至少一些专家表示，特朗普在促成泰国和柬埔寨之间原定于2025年7月爆发的边境冲突停火方面发挥了重要作用，尽管冲突在12月再次爆发，之后才再次达成停火协议。巴基斯坦总理热情地强调了特朗普在结束与印度之间原定于2025年爆发的致命冲突中所扮演的角色，而特朗普的说法也确实如此，尽管特朗普没有提及印度政府否认特朗普在其中发挥了作用。

但特朗普一直声称他“解决了八场战争”或“结束了八场战争”，而不是承认他只解决了三场战争。而且，这八场战争中的大多数要么肯定不应该出现在名单上，要么很可能根本不应该出现在那里。

在周五的演讲和社交媒体帖子中，特朗普还列举了一系列其他外交政策主张，声称这些主张可以支持他获得诺贝尔奖；我们就不一一赘述了。但其中一些也是错误的或值得怀疑的。

“我打了八场战争。没有哪个总统打过战争，”特朗普错误地宣称，完全无视其他美国总统通过赢得战争或斡旋和平协议而结束的各种战争。例如，西奥多·罗斯福就因促成结束俄日战争的和平协议而荣获1906年诺贝尔和平奖。

“顺便说一句，我还得到了格陵兰岛。希望你们为此感到高兴，”特朗普在演讲中说道。虽然他确实与丹麦达成了一项新的协议，略微扩大了美国在格陵兰岛的权利，但该协议仍然将这片领土牢牢地置于丹麦的主权之下。此外，特朗普如果真的迫使一位欧洲盟友放弃领土，为何会对他的诺贝尔奖评选有所帮助，这一点也尚不清楚，但我们暂且不谈。

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特朗普在演讲中试图将自己发动的伊朗战争归功于诺贝尔和平奖，他说：“我阻止了伊朗摧毁以色列、中东和欧洲，甚至可能在我们彻底消灭他们之前，也阻止了他们摧毁美国的一部分。” 虽然无法确切地核实这一假设，但没有任何证据表明伊朗曾计划或能够真正实现这种程度的破坏。

在演讲和社交媒体帖子中，特朗普都宣称他“即将解决”俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的战争；他在帖子中声称，这项所谓的解决方案，就像解决伊朗战争一样，“正在以惊人的速度进行”。诺贝尔委员会和其他机构对此表示极度怀疑，这情有可原。特朗普在2024年竞选期间承诺，他将在当选总统后或在重返总统岗位后的24小时内结束这场战争——而他上任的时间是20多个月前的2025年1月。