Conflict, drought increasing risk of famine in Sudan: Monitor冲突和干旱加剧苏丹饥荒风险:监测报告
El Nino-induced drought is affecting roughly half of the country as three-year long war continues.
![Preparing food to be distributed to people in need in Khartoum September 23, 2026 [Marwan Ali/AP]](https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/ap_6acd3ea238e6a-1791835810.jpg?resize=770%2C513&quality=80)
El Nino-induced drought is affecting roughly half of the country as three-year long war continues.
Preparing food to be distributed to people in need in Khartoum September 23, 2026 [Marwan Ali/AP]
Conflict and drought are increasing the risk of famine across Sudan’s Darfur and Kordofan regions, warns a global food crisis monitor.
“An El Nino-induced drought, affecting roughly half of the country, is compounding the impacts of conflict and displacement, reducing food availability, driving up prices and affecting livelihoods,” the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) said on Monday in a statement.
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“Healthcare is extremely limited, often entirely inaccessible, while clean water is becoming increasingly scarce, leaving a poorly nourished population highly vulnerable to disease and death,” it added.
The IPC is an initiative aimed at enhancing food security and consists of 21 organisations and intergovernmental institutions, including the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), the World Bank, the World Food Programme (WFP) and the World Health Organization (WHO).
‘Food insecurity, acute malnutrition and excess mortality’
Farmers’ livelihoods have deteriorated and dependence on food assistance is on the rise, said the IPC. “Food insecurity, acute malnutrition and excess mortality will likely intensify,” it warned.
Poor vegetation growth affects nearly two-thirds of cropland in North Darfur and about half in South Darfur, West Kordofan and South Kordofan, where severe water shortages and limited opportunity for agricultural recovery threaten livelihoods.
Waiting to receive donated food at a community kitchen in Khartoum, September 23, 2026 [Marwan Ali/AP]
The IPC reported worsening acute malnutrition in additional areas, including Nyala, where the proportion of children accessing nutrition services who were admitted for severe acute malnutrition doubled from approximately 5% to 11% between January and August. Two displacement camps in South Darfur also recorded global acute malnutrition above famine thresholds.
In North Darfur, delayed rains that impacted crop cultivation and “critically low” food stocks have worsened food insecurity, it added. Western Kordofan is suffering one of its worst droughts since 2004 amid poor rainfall.
The lasting effect as conflict persists
In May, nearly 19.5 million people, over 40% of the population, were facing high levels of acute food insecurity, according to an IPC assessment. Of those, 135,000 were in Phase 5, the most severe classification, characterised by extreme food shortages, starvation, very high levels of malnutrition and deaths from disease or acute malnutrition.
Sudan’s war erupted in April 2023 when tensions between the military and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), escalated into open fighting in the capital, Khartoum, before spreading across the country. The conflict has killed at least 150,000 people, according to conflict monitor ACLED, though aid groups say the actual toll is likely higher. About 13 million people have been displaced .
A temporary shelter at the Oure Cassoni refugee camp in Chad, February 24, 2026 [Dan Kitwood/Getty]
The army holds sway in Sudan’s central and eastern regions, while the Darfur region in the west and parts of the south are under control of the rival RSF.
The arid Darfur region, which is about the size of Spain, has faced some of the worst violence, with displacement camps invaded and ethnic cleansing killing thousands at a time.
厄尔尼诺现象引发的干旱影响着该国大约一半的地区,而长达三年的战争仍在继续。
2026年9月23日,在喀土穆,人们正在准备分发给有需要的人的食物。[Marwan Ali/AP]
全球粮食危机监测机构警告称,冲突和干旱正在加剧苏丹达尔富尔和科尔多凡地区发生饥荒的风险。
“厄尔尼诺现象引发的干旱影响了该国大约一半的地区,加剧了冲突和流离失所的影响,减少了粮食供应,推高了价格,并影响了生计,”综合粮食安全阶段分类(IPC)周一在一份声明中表示。
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报告还指出:“医疗保健资源极其有限,往往完全无法获得,而清洁用水也日益稀缺,导致营养不良的人口极易受到疾病和死亡的侵袭。”
国际粮食安全伙伴关系(IPC)是一项旨在加强粮食安全的倡议,由 21 个组织和政府间机构组成,其中包括联合国儿童基金会(UNICEF)、世界银行、世界粮食计划署(WFP)和世界卫生组织(WHO)。
“粮食不安全、急性营养不良和过高死亡率”
粮食安全状况综合评估报告(IPC)指出,农民的生计状况恶化,对粮食援助的依赖性日益增强。报告警告称,“粮食不安全、急性营养不良和过高死亡率等问题可能会加剧。”
北达尔富尔近三分之二的耕地和南达尔富尔、西科尔多凡和南科尔多凡约一半的耕地受到植被生长不良的影响,严重的缺水和有限的农业恢复机会威胁着当地居民的生计。
2026年9月23日,在喀土穆的一个社区厨房,人们正在等待领取捐赠的食物。[Marwan Ali/AP]
IPC报告称,包括尼亚拉在内的更多地区急性营养不良状况恶化。在尼亚拉,1月至8月期间,因严重急性营养不良入院接受营养服务的儿童比例翻了一番,从约5%增至11%。南达尔富尔的两个流离失所者营地也记录到全球急性营养不良率超过饥荒阈值。
报告还指出,北达尔富尔州降雨延迟,影响了农作物种植,粮食库存“极低”,加剧了粮食不安全状况。西科尔多凡州由于降雨量不足,正遭受自2004年以来最严重的干旱之一。
冲突持续带来的持久影响
根据粮食安全阶段综合分类(IPC)的评估,5月份,近1950万人(占总人口的40%以上)面临严重的急性粮食不安全状况。其中,13.5万人处于第五阶段,这是最严重的级别,其特征是粮食极度短缺、饥饿、营养不良率极高,以及因疾病或急性营养不良导致的死亡。
苏丹内战于2023年4月爆发,起因是军方与准军事组织快速支援部队(RSF)之间的紧张关系升级,在首都喀土穆演变为公开冲突,随后战火蔓延至全国。据冲突监测机构ACLED统计,冲突已造成至少15万人死亡,但援助组织表示实际死亡人数可能更高。约有1300万人流离失所。
2026年2月24日,乍得奥雷·卡索尼难民营的临时住所 [丹·基特伍德/盖蒂图片社]
军队控制着苏丹中部和东部地区,而西部的达尔富尔地区和南部部分地区则由敌对的快速支援部队控制。
面积与西班牙相仿的干旱达尔富尔地区曾遭受最严重的暴力袭击,流离失所者营地遭到入侵,种族清洗一次就造成数千人死亡。