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Are sperm counts really dropping worldwide? A urologist explains why it’s complicated

Large studies have reported falling sperm counts, but the findings vary across populations. A urologist explains what the results mean for individual men.

CNNDr. Jamin Brahmbhatt查看原文 ↗
全球精子数量真的在下降吗?一位泌尿科医生解释了其中的复杂原因。

Dr. Jamin Brahmbhatt is a urologist and robotic surgeon with Orlando Health and an assistant professor at the University of Central Florida’s College of Medicine.

There are two times I see men get hyperfocused on their health: when they’re having issues with erections and when they’re having issues making babies.

Those with fertility concerns tend to be younger and arrive with their partners. The concerns are different, but both can open the door to a bigger conversation about health.

When an abnormal semen analysis or fertility concerns trigger a visit, I spend a lot of time sorting through things patients have heard about semen and general fertility. One fear they often mention is hearing that sperm counts are falling worldwide. Men and their partners worry less about why this is happening and more about what, if anything, they can do about it.

The more I heard this concern, the more I started to think — are sperm counts really dropping worldwide? And wait. Should I, as a man, also be worried?

Why are people talking about falling sperm counts? Alarms went off after a major global analysis published in 2022 estimated that average sperm concentration fell by about half between 1973 and 2018 among men not selected on the basis of fertility. The overall analysis combined 223 studies involving more than 57,000 men from 53 countries.

This type of research, called a meta-analysis , combines results from multiple studies to look for an overall pattern. These analyses can strongly influence how doctors and patients understand an issue and what guidance to give the general population.

Sperm counts may be declining globally, review finds, adding to debate over male fertility

Researchers estimated that average sperm concentration fell 51.6% and total sperm count fell 62.3%. Concentration measures the number of sperm per milliliter of semen, and total count measures the number in an entire ejaculate. These findings triggered alarms for researchers, doctors and patients.

When you look at the numbers, these findings do appear alarming. The numbers also raise concerns about what might be affecting sperm production. For me and others in my field, they raised another question and opportunity — could sperm measurements give a window into a man’s overall health?

I had a patient who was so stressed about dropping sperm counts that he worried about his future children and generations beyond. To him, the study sounded like a countdown to men no longer being able to reproduce. It’s a scary thought but goes beyond what the study can tell us. Other research also gives us reasons to question whether the same decline is happening everywhere.

Sperm concentration showed no overall change in the initial analysis of samples collected from 1970 through 2018, according to a 2025 review and meta-analysis . It covered 58 studies involving 11,787 American men without known infertility issues.

After adjusting for geographic region and fertility status, researchers found a modest annual decline in sperm concentration. In other words, the answer changed depending on whom was studied and how the numbers were analyzed.

These findings do not negate the concern raised by the 2022 analysis. They do make the picture more complex than a single worldwide decline. For my worried patient, that study was not a countdown clock on his chance to become a dad. I told him what I am telling you — sperm counts are fine, for now.

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A doctor may commonly order a semen analysis as part of a fertility workup or after a vasectomy to ensure no sperm are left in the ejaculate. It can reveal a lot, but it cannot answer every question about fertility. The test measures several things, including how many sperm are present, how well they move and what percentage have a typical shape. The World Health Organization says its comparison numbers used to interpret the results should not be treated as an absolute line separating fertile from infertile men.

Another complicating factor is that if a man dropped off a semen sample every day for a week, the numbers would not be the same each day. Length of abstinence, recent illness, medications, stress, collection conditions and differences among labs can all affect the results. It’s why the American Urological Association recommends at least two analyses, ideally a month apart, especially when the first result may be abnormal.

I’ve seen men worry because their first test showed low motility, meaning the sperm were not moving well. I’ve also seen men with few or no sperm stay calm and simply ask, “OK, what can I do to improve this?” One test can indicate where to look. Repeated tests, interpreted alongside a medical history and examination, help make a plan.

I once treated a patient whose sperm count and shape looked fine but whose motility, or ability to move, was poor. He exercised, did not smoke and barely drank. When we talked, he opened up about work stress and poor sleep. Six months later, after improving both, his sperm movement was better. He reported no other changes to his diet or lifestyle.

Such a result does not prove better sleep and less stress caused the improvement. Semen results fluctuate. But his test results started a conversation about parts of his health that deserved attention regardless of whether his sperm improved.

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Most people hear sperm count and think about fertility and having kids. In my line of work, doctors see it as one part of a man’s broader health picture. Men with infertility or abnormal semen results have higher rates of some medical conditions, and urology guidelines recommend counseling them about that connection.

An abnormal semen analysis is not a diagnosis of heart disease, diabetes or an early death. It is a reason to look under the hood: Check the man’s history, examine him, review medications and consider whether another health problem is being missed.

Sperm health can be affected by some of the same conditions I discuss during a routine checkup, including medical issues, smoking, lack of sleep, heat and current medications.

Science backs me up: Obesity, diabetes and metabolic syndrome were linked with poorer semen quality and damage to sperm DNA in a review of 112 studies .

Men who slept less than six hours a night were about 40% less likely to get their partner pregnant in any given month compared with men who slept eight hours, according to a 2018 study of 1,176 couples .

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Cigarette smoking can affect semen quality. In one study of infertile heavy smokers , sperm concentration and total count improved three months after they quit.

Lower sperm concentration and count were associated with exposure to heat waves in a study of men undergoing routine semen analysis in Argentina . The testicles sit outside the body for a reason. Sperm production works best below normal body temperature, and hence chronic heat exposure can interfere with that process.

What about medications such as testosterone? I tell every man who wants children now or in the future to avoid testosterone replacement therapy. Guidelines warn that it can suppress sperm production, sometimes to zero. If symptoms of low testosterone are a concern, ask about alternate options that preserve fertility.

Higher total testosterone levels were associated with GLP-1 drugs, according to a 2026 systematic review . Better semen measures in men with obesity or low testosterone have been reported in other studies.

These findings are encouraging, but I am cautious about labeling or prescribing GLP-1 drugs as fertility drugs. These medications help men lose weight and manage chronic health conditions, which may then explain the benefits seen in testosterone and sperm quality. Whether these changes improve the chances of pregnancy still needs more study.

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Scientists say GLP-1s improved male testosterone levels and sperm count

When a man asks me if he should get on GLP-1 drugs, I encourage him to discuss whether they are appropriate for his weight and health conditions with his primary care doctor. My focus is on inspiring him to improve his overall health rather than prescribing a GLP-1 to help him make a baby. I also remind him that if he does become a father, taking care of himself now may help him stay healthy and active as his children grow.

I start with one simple piece of advice: Do not panic over one result. If a semen analysis is abnormal, we will usually repeat it and look alongside your medical history. Some causes are treatable , and in some men, the workup can uncover more serious underlying health problems. Tell your doctor about medications, cannabis and any nicotine products you use. Knowing what you use helps doctors give you better advice.

While we arrange more testing, I focus on the habits that support overall health: Do not smoke, avoid heavy drinking, exercise, work toward a healthy weight, get enough sleep and manage chronic conditions.

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Health habits start with what you’re eating. I tell guys all the time: If you love fast food, it’s probably not helping your fertility. A Mediterranean-style diet has been linked with better semen measures . Evidence that it improves the chances of pregnancy is less certain, so think long-term health plan, not quick fertility fix.

You will also need to give your body time. Changes in habits or treatment take time to show up in sperm measurements, so there’s often a reassessment after about three months. Doing so is different from repeating an initial abnormal test to confirm the result period. A few days will not indicate whether a new routine is working.

The worldwide debate over sperm counts will continue. In my office, the next step continues to be more personal. We’ll clear out any misconceptions, review results, address any issues we find, and build habits that support overall health and longevity. A fertility concern can be the start of taking better care of yourself, whether having children is in the plan or not.

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