ADB raises S. Korea's 2026 growth forecast to 3.2 pct亚洲开发银行将韩国2026年经济增长预期上调至3.2%。
SEOUL, Sept. 23 (Yonhap) -- The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday raised...
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SEOUL, Sept. 23 (Yonhap) -- The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday raised its 2026 economic growth forecast for South Korea to 3.2 percent from the 2.6 percent projected in July, citing strong exports and corporate earnings amid the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
The ADB's latest estimate marks a 0.6 percentage-point increase from the previous report, with the bank also raising its 2027 growth outlook for Asia's fourth-largest economy by 0.3 percentage point to 2.3 percent.
The Manila-based bank had projected growth of 1.9 percent and 2.6 percent for 2026 in its April and July reports, respectively, for Asia's No. 4 economy.
The ADB said the revised forecast reflected South Korea's growing exports amid soaring global demand for AI chips.
South Korea's expansionary fiscal policy and robust corporate earnings are contributing to a gradual recovery in private consumption, it added.
The ADB, however, noted potential risks include rising geopolitical tensions, increased volatility in global financial markets and additional U.S. tariff hikes, which could weigh on exports and investment.
As for inflation, the ADB maintained its July forecast for South Korea, predicting consumer prices will likely rise 2.7 percent on-year in 2026.
The ADB said the government's efforts to curb consumer price increases were expected to partially offset inflationary pressures from higher global energy prices and stronger domestic demand.
The development bank maintained its inflation forecast for 2027 at 2.2 percent as well.
In July, the Ministry of Finance and Economy revised up the country's economic growth projection for 2026 to 3 percent in its second-half policy report, up 1 percentage point from its previous outlook, citing the semiconductor supercycle.
In August, the state-run Korea Development Institute (KDI) also said South Korea's economy is expected to grow 3.2 percent in 2026, revising up its previous forecast of 2.5 percent.
colin@yna.co.kr (END)
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首尔，9月23日（韩联社）——亚洲开发银行（亚行）周三将韩国2026年的经济增长预期从7月份预测的2.6%上调至3.2%，理由是人工智能（AI）热潮推动了强劲的出口和企业盈利。
亚洲开发银行最新预测比上一份报告提高了 0.6 个百分点，同时将亚洲第四大经济体 2027 年的增长预期上调了 0.3 个百分点，达到 2.3%。
这家总部位于马尼拉的银行在其 4 月和 7 月的报告中分别预测，亚洲第四大经济体到 2026 年的增长率将分别为 1.9% 和 2.6%。
亚洲开发银行表示，修订后的预测反映了在全球对人工智能芯片的需求飙升的情况下，韩国出口不断增长。
报告还指出，韩国扩张性的财政政策和强劲的企业盈利正在促进私人消费的逐步复苏。
然而，亚洲开发银行指出，潜在风险包括地缘政治紧张局势加剧、全球金融市场波动性增加以及美国进一步提高关税，这些都可能对出口和投资造成压力。
至于通胀方面，亚洲开发银行维持了其7月份对韩国的预测，预计2026年韩国消费者价格可能同比上涨2.7%。
亚洲开发银行表示，政府为抑制消费价格上涨所做的努力有望部分抵消全球能源价格上涨和国内需求增强带来的通胀压力。
该开发银行维持了对2027年2.2%的通胀预测。
7 月，财政经济部在其下半年政策报告中将该国 2026 年的经济增长预期上调至 3%，比之前的预期高出 1 个百分点，理由是半导体超级周期。
今年8月，韩国国营的韩国开发研究院（KDI）也表示，预计韩国经济在2026年将增长3.2%，上调了此前2.5%的预测。
colin@yna.co.kr (完)
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亚洲开发银行将韩国2026年经济增长预期上调至3.2%。