Why doesn’t high speed rail work in America?为什么美国的高铁系统行不通?
American railroads were once the envy of the world and the engine of its industrial age. But that hasn’t been the case for more than half a century.
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American railroads were once the envy of the world and the engine of its industrial age. But that hasn’t been the case for more than half a century.
Brightline, founded in 2012, wanted to change all that. The Florida private rail company ran yellow trains at near high speed between Miami and Orlando. It has big plans to launch another line with true high speed 200 mph trains making the 200-mile trip between Las Vegas and Rancho Cucamonga, California, just outside of Los Angeles.
Then it filed for bankruptcy last month after not making enough money to cover its debts. But the railroad is still operating its Florida service and moving ahead with plans for the true high speed trains between Las Vegas and Southern California.
High speed passenger rail is common around the globe, from major countries like Japan, France and China, all the way to emerging economies like Morocco.
The United States is a glaring exception, with no passenger trains that meet the global definition of high speed, or that run at least 150 mph for extended trips.
That’s partly cultural — America is a country of cars. But the main reason high speed rail hasn’t happened in the United States is due to a lack of government resources, according to leading high speed rail advocate Lou Thompson.
Foreign governments “wanted high speed rail, and they were willing to pay for it,” Thompson, who was involved in the formation of Amtrak in the early 1970s and served as railways advisor to the World Bank, told CNN. “Our government has never met those two conditions.”
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All that government support instead went to the nation’s interstate highways and air traffic system. That is partly due to public need — America needed reliable ways to move people and goods across a fast- growing country after World War II.
But it’s also partly due to the powerful business forces behind the highways and skyways: the auto, oil and construction industries in the case of highways, and the airlines and aerospace companies when it comes to air travel.
The lobbying from these industries essentially pushed high-speed rail “into the background in order to keep funding roads and aviation,” said Andy Kunz, CEO of advocacy group US High Speed Rail.
There’s also the problem of geography. The United States is large, and its major cities are further apart than many of the countries with built-out high speed rail.
“Once you get much beyond 400 miles (between destinations), then high speed rail begins to lose out to air because then air becomes faster (in the United States),” Thompson said. “It’s amazing how far you can go in Europe in 400 miles. Most of the major cities are within that kind of distance. That’s true in Japan as well.”
Also, when you don’t have the infrastructure built between major cities, it’s difficult to build the ridership necessary to sustain high speed rail service.
In Japan, for example, hundreds of millions of people a year ride their high-speed trains. The maximum demand predicated for California is about 30 million or 35 million, Thompson said. Amtrak’s Acela rail service between Washington and Boston carries 12 million people a year, he said.
Augustin Pasquini/AFP/Hans Lucas/Getty Images
“When you get hundreds of millions of people a year or billions of people a year, then the economic shift pretty significantly,” he said
There are some options for faster rail service in the United States. Amtrak’s NextGen Acela train, which just started running a month ago, can reach 160 mph. Even in bankruptcy, Brightline still operates the Orlando and Miami line that tops speeds of 125 mph.
But both have limits. The Acela can only hit that speed in short bursts. Brightline only hits its top speed during a 38-mile stretch near Orlando.
Brightline had hoped for more government support for its buildout in Florida and its western line, as well as more passengers in Florida. Its quarterly reports show it carried 1.8 million passengers in the second quarter, up 16% from a year earlier.
Despite the lack of US high speed rail success in the past, it believes it can still be a successful business going forward, saying that on an operating basis, it was already making money some months. The company is on record saying its bankruptcy filing should help it move forward with its plans by shedding some of its debt. And it says no tax dollars will be lost due to the filing.
Meanwhile, a publicly funded American high speed rail project meant to connect Los Angeles to San Francisco is years behind schedule and billions over budget. The project has “reached a dead end,” said Thompson, who served on a peer review group overseeing the project for the California legislator.
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Kunz said he’s still hopeful about the future of high-speed rail in the country. If a project like Brightline’s Los Angeles to Las Vegas line opens, he thinks it will increase demand for the service elsewhere.
Private investment alone isn’t the answer, said Thompson, adding that it’s not realistic to think high speed rail can be built and operated without some significant form of government support.
“The value of high-speed rail is partly for people riding it … but it’s also partly social things like reduced pollution, reduced noise, better safety, or better land use,” he said. “There are a lot of other lot of other public benefits that the rider won’t and shouldn’t pay for.”
乔·雷德尔/盖蒂图片社
美国铁路曾经令世界艳羡,是工业时代的引擎。但这种情况在过去半个多世纪里早已不复存在。
Brightline成立于2012年,旨在改变这一切。这家佛罗里达州的私营铁路公司运营着往返于迈阿密和奥兰多之间的黄色列车,速度接近高速。该公司计划开通另一条线路,用真正的高速列车以200英里/小时的速度行驶,连接拉斯维加斯和位于洛杉矶郊外的加州兰乔库卡蒙加,全程200英里。
由于盈利不足以偿还债务,该公司上个月申请破产。但该铁路公司仍在运营其在佛罗里达州的线路,并继续推进拉斯维加斯和南加州之间真正高速列车的建设计划。
从日本、法国、中国等主要国家到摩洛哥等新兴经济体,高速客运铁路在全球范围内都很普遍。
美国是一个明显的例外,没有符合全球高速列车定义的客运列车,也没有能够以至少 150 英里/小时的速度进行长途旅行的客运列车。
这部分原因在于文化因素——美国是一个汽车国家。但据高铁倡导者卢·汤普森称,美国高铁发展滞后的主要原因是政府资源不足。
汤普森曾参与上世纪70年代初美国铁路公司(Amtrak)的组建,并担任世界银行的铁路顾问。他告诉CNN:“外国政府‘想要高速铁路,也愿意为此买单’。而我们政府从未满足过这两个条件。”
Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images
政府的所有支持都转而用于建设州际公路和空中交通系统。这部分是出于公众需求——二战后,美国这个快速发展的国家需要可靠的交通方式来运送人员和货物。
但这也要部分归因于公路和高架道路背后强大的商业力量:公路背后的汽车、石油和建筑行业,以及航空旅行背后的航空公司和航天公司。
美国高速铁路倡导组织首席执行官安迪·昆兹表示,这些行业的游说实际上将高速铁路“边缘化,以便继续为公路和航空提供资金”。
地理因素也是一个问题。美国幅员辽阔,其主要城市之间的距离比许多已建成高速铁路的国家都要远。
汤普森说:“一旦两地之间的距离超过400英里,高铁的优势就开始被航空取代,因为(在美国)航空运输速度更快。在欧洲,400英里的距离能到达很远的地方,这令人惊叹。大多数主要城市都在这个距离范围内。日本也是如此。”
此外,如果主要城市之间没有建设基础设施,就很难建立起维持高速铁路服务所需的客流量。
例如,在日本,每年有数亿人乘坐高速列车。汤普森表示,加州的高速列车最大需求量预计在3000万至3500万人次左右。他还提到,美国铁路公司(Amtrak)的华盛顿至波士顿之间的Acela特快列车每年运送1200万人次。
奥古斯丁·帕斯奎尼/法新社/汉斯·卢卡斯/盖蒂图片社
他说:“当每年有数亿甚至数十亿人移民时,经济就会发生相当大的变化。”
在美国,有一些更快捷的铁路服务可供选择。例如,美国铁路公司(Amtrak)的NextGen Acela列车,一个月前刚刚开始运营,最高时速可达160英里/小时。即使破产重组,布莱特莱恩铁路公司(Brightline)仍然运营着奥兰多和迈阿密之间的线路,最高时速可达125英里/小时。
但两者都有极限。Acela列车只能短时间达到最高速度。Brightline列车也只有在奥兰多附近一段38英里的路段上才能达到最高速度。
Brightline公司曾希望获得政府更多支持,用于其在佛罗里达州及其西部线路的建设,并希望佛罗里达州的客流量能够增加。其季度报告显示,第二季度该公司运送了180万名乘客,比上年同期增长16%。
尽管美国高铁项目过去并不成功,但该公司仍然相信未来能够盈利,并表示在运营层面,公司已经在某些月份实现了盈利。该公司曾公开表示,申请破产保护将有助于其通过削减部分债务来推进计划。此外,该公司还表示,此次破产申请不会导致任何税款损失。
与此同时,连接洛杉矶和旧金山的美国高铁项目由公共资金资助,但该项目已严重滞后,预算超支数十亿美元。曾代表加州议员参与该项目同行评审小组的汤普森表示,该项目已“陷入僵局”。
Patrick T. Fallon/法新社/盖蒂图片社
昆兹表示,他对美国高铁的未来仍然充满希望。他认为,如果像布莱特莱恩公司(Brightline)的洛杉矶至拉斯维加斯线路这样的项目开通运营,将会增加其他地区对高铁服务的需求。
汤普森表示,仅靠私人投资是行不通的,并补充说,认为在没有某种形式的重大政府支持的情况下可以建设和运营高铁是不现实的。
“高铁的价值一部分在于乘客的体验……但一部分也在于社会效益,例如减少污染、降低噪音、提高安全性以及更好地利用土地,”他说道。“还有很多其他公共利益,乘客无需也不应该为此买单。”