Singapore shrugs off Indonesian gas cuts, urges importers to take legal recourse

The Energy Market Authority of Singapore has reassured that a recent reduction in natural gas supplies from Indonesia will impact less than 2% of the nation's total daily gas demand, citing alternative LNG reserves and contingency protocols to ensure continued power grid stability.

Indonesia announced a scale-back on gas exports to Singapore, with plans to reduce supplies by 31 BBTUD, though Singaporean importers reported a smaller reduction of 17 BBTUD over 18 days.

Despite concerns over potential political motives tied to bilateral issues, analysts believe this situation may hasten Singapore's shift towards regional grid interconnectors and renewable energy investments.

Temasek-owned Gas Supply is actively engaging with upstream suppliers to mitigate industrial delivery disruptions.

SINGAPORE, Oct 25 — A sudden reduction in piped natural gas supplies from Indonesia will account for less than 2 per cent of Singapore's total daily gas demand, the Energy Market Authority (EMA) confirmed, adding that alternative liquefied natural gas (LNG) reserves and contingency protocols will prevent any disruption to the power grid.

The market regulator was responding to announcements from Jakarta that Indonesia would scale back deliveries through two subsea pipelines feeding the island nation.

Indonesian upstream regulator SKK Migas chief Djoko Siswanto told local media that Jakarta would reduce natural gas exports to Singapore by 31 billion British thermal units per day (BBTUD) starting Oct 24.

However, the EMA clarified that data from Singapore's licensed gas importers points to a smaller curtailment of 17 BBTUD spread over 18 days, a fraction of the republic's daily consumption exceeding 1,000 BBTUD, The Straits Times reported.

“EMA understands that our importers will pursue all relevant recourse in their contracts for the gas supply disruption,” the spokesman added, emphasizing that the city-state regularly absorbs operational fluctuations between 20 and 100 BBTUD during routine maintenance cycles without incident.

Singapore generates roughly 95 per cent of its electricity from natural gas, relying on pipeline links from Malaysia and Indonesia alongside globally sourced LNG cargoes. The EMA noted that Singapore GasCo, the nation's central gas procurement entity, stands operationally primed to import supplemental shipments at short notice.

“Besides Indonesia, Singapore imports natural gas from other sources around the world.

“Power generation companies are further required to maintain sufficient fuel reserves for power generation, including diesel reserves.”

On the corporate front, Temasek-owned Gas Supply acknowledged that deliveries to local industrial clients faced “temporary reductions” from its Indonesian upstream counterpart, confirming direct discussions to cushion the operational shortfall.

“(The company) continues to engage closely with our upstream supplier to manage the situation,” the importer stated.

The pipeline curtailment follows pointed rhetoric from Indonesian Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Bahlil Lahadalia, who warned on Oct 22 that Jakarta could restrict energy shipments to nations that fail to demonstrate mutual respect.

Indonesian media have characterised the cuts, which involve 15 BBTUD from the Natuna offshore corridor and 16 BBTUD from the Jambi Merang field in Sumatra, as part of President Prabowo Subianto's drive to prioritise domestic energy security.

Sumatran gas flows directly to Gas Supply, while Natuna offshore gas feeds into Sembcorp Gas receiving terminals under long-term sales agreements scheduled to run until 2028.

Energy market economists noted that while turning to spot LNG can occasionally elevate marginal procurement costs, the modest scale of the cut means consumer electricity tariffs will absorb minimal impact.

Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore chief executive Subodh Mhaisalkar noted that LNG acts as a critical strategic shock absorber, observing that the shortfall represents a “small portion” of daily generation needs.

Independent energy economist David Broadstock described the sudden reduction as a “surprising event” in Singapore's supply chain, noting that the timing coincides with the eve of Singapore International Energy Week and ongoing bilateral friction over transboundary haze enforcement.

“There is a question mark over whether there is a political element tied to this action, potentially making it a reaction to the haze issue.

“I wouldn’t say for sure that it is a definitive driving factor, but it certainly cannot be ruled out.”

Analysts highlighted that with LNG currently accounting for roughly 60 per cent of Singapore's gas mix, the pipeline row will likely accelerate Singapore's push toward regional electricity grid interconnectors and renewable investments.

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新加坡能源市场管理局保证，近期印尼天然气供应减少将影响该国每日天然气总需求的不到 2%，并指出有替代的液化天然气储备和应急协议来确保电网持续稳定。

印尼宣布缩减对新加坡的天然气出口，计划减少 31 BBTUD 的供应量，但新加坡进口商报告称，18 天内的减量幅度较小，为 17 BBTUD。

尽管有人担心这可能与双边问题相关的政治动机有关，但分析人士认为，这种情况可能会加速新加坡向区域电网互联和可再生能源投资的转型。

淡马锡旗下的 Gas Supply 正在积极与上游供应商合作，以减轻工业用气供应中断的影响。

新加坡，10 月 25 日——能源市场管理局 (EMA) 证实，来自印度尼西亚的管道天然气供应突然减少，将只占新加坡每日天然气总需求的不到 2%。该局还表示，替代液化天然气 (LNG) 储备和应急协议将防止电网受到任何干扰。

市场监管机构此举是对雅加达方面宣布印尼将缩减通过两条海底管道向该岛国输送天然气的举措做出回应。

印度尼西亚上游监管机构 SKK Migas 负责人 Djoko Siswanto 告诉当地媒体，从 10 月 24 日开始，雅加达将减少每天向新加坡出口 310 亿英热单位 (BBTUD)。

然而，《海峡时报》报道称，EMA澄清说，新加坡持牌天然气进口商的数据显示，实际减产幅度较小，在18天内减少170亿桶/日，仅占新加坡每日超过10000亿桶/日的天然气消耗量的一小部分。

“EMA理解我们的进口商将根据合同寻求所有相关的补救措施来应对天然气供应中断，”发言人补充道，并强调该城邦在例行维护周期中通常会承受20至100 BBTUD之间的运营波动，而不会发生事故。

新加坡约95%的电力来自天然气，主要依赖来自马来西亚和印度尼西亚的管道以及全球范围内的液化天然气（LNG）供应。能源市场管理局（EMA）指出，新加坡天然气公司（Singapore GasCo）作为该国的中央天然气采购机构，已做好充分准备，可在短时间内进口补充天然气。

“除了印度尼西亚，新加坡还从世界各地进口天然气。

“发电公司还必须保持充足的发电燃料储备，包括柴油储备。”

在企业方面，淡马锡控股的 Gas Supply 承认，由于其印尼上游供应商的供货量“暂时减少”，当地工业客户的天然气供应面临困境，并证实双方已就此展开直接讨论，以缓解运营缺口。

“（公司）正继续与上游供应商密切合作，以应对这种情况，”进口商表示。

此次管道减产是在印尼能源和矿产资源部长巴赫利尔·拉哈达利亚发表尖锐言论之后发生的。拉哈达利亚于 10 月 22 日警告称，如果国家未能表现出相互尊重，雅加达可能会限制向其输送能源。

印尼媒体将此次减产描述为总统普拉博沃·苏比安托优先保障国内能源安全举措的一部分，减产幅度包括纳土纳近海走廊 150 亿吨/日和苏门答腊占碑梅朗油田 160 亿吨/日。

苏门答腊天然气直接输送至天然气供应公司，而纳土纳海上天然气则根据长期销售协议输送至胜科天然气接收终端，该协议计划持续到 2028 年。

能源市场经济学家指出，虽然转向现货液化天然气有时会提高边际采购成本，但削减规模不大，这意味着消费者电价受到的影响将微乎其微。

新加坡太阳能研究所首席执行官苏博德·迈萨尔卡指出，液化天然气发挥着重要的战略缓冲作用，并表示其缺口仅占日常发电需求的“一小部分”。

独立能源经济学家大卫·布罗德斯托克将此次突然减产描述为新加坡供应链中的“意外事件”，并指出减产时机恰逢新加坡国际能源周前夕，以及两国在跨境雾霾执法方面持续存在的双边摩擦。

“目前尚不清楚这一行动是否带有政治因素，这或许是对雾霾问题的一种回应。

“我不能肯定地说这是决定性因素，但也不能排除这种可能性。”

分析人士指出，液化天然气目前约占新​​加坡天然气结构的 60%，管道争端可能会加速新加坡推进区域电网互联和可再生能源投资。

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