Buying frenzy fears followed by a sales slump expressed in mixed reaction to excise tax on EV imports

November 4, 2026 at 11:43 am

in Economy , Living , Media , Politics , Thailand

Thailand’s move to slap a 35% excise tax on imported electric vehicles from January 1, 2027, has sparked mixed reactions and warnings of a sales slump. Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Ekniti Nitithanprapas confirmed the decision, backed by the Federation of Thai Industries. However, importers face a frantic year-end race to clear unsold EVs before higher taxes hit. Some models could jump ฿100,000 in price. Meanwhile, industry chiefs warn that foreign brands could quit Thailand, leaving owners stranded without parts or warranty support. The government aims to protect domestic factories and 800,000 automotive jobs. Yet the FTI forecasts 7% industry growth despite warnings that December’s buying frenzy could trigger a sharp sales slump in 2027.

Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Ekniti Nitithanprapas confirms 35% EV import tax from 2027. FTI backs the move but warns of a buying rush and sales slump. (Source: Siam Rath)

Thailand’s decision to raise excise taxes on imported electric vehicles to 35% from January 1, 2027, has divided the automotive industry. Domestic manufacturers have welcomed the protection, but industry leaders warn of a sales slump next year.

Meanwhile, importers face a race to clear unsold vehicles before the deadline. A buying rush is expected at December’s Motor Expo, with some imported EVs facing price increases of up to 10%. The Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) backs the measure but warns of weaker demand in 2027. Manufacturers without Thai factories also face mounting pressure over future investment, pricing and market access.

The Cabinet approved the increase on Tuesday, November 3, during its meeting in Udon Thani. Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Ekniti Nitithanprapas confirmed the decision. Under the revised structure, excise tax on fully imported battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will rise from 10% to 35%. Separately, the rate for imported range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs) will increase from 15% to 35%.

Imported EV taxes rise sharply as government favours Thai factories and negotiates investment concessions

The changes represent increases of 25 percentage points for BEVs and 20 percentage points for REEVs. However, the new rates will not apply equally to every electric vehicle sold in Thailand. They principally target imported finished vehicles without qualifying Thai manufacturing operations or locally produced components. Certain locally manufactured EVs currently qualify for an excise rate of just 2%.

The government is drawing a clear distinction between manufacturers investing in Thailand and companies importing completed vehicles. Ekniti said the decision would encourage domestic production, strengthen local supply chains and support employment.

In addition, the government wants manufacturers to purchase more components from Thai suppliers. The policy also seeks to attract further investment in automotive manufacturing.

Excise Department Director-General Pornchai Thiraveja confirmed that the decision followed earlier national EV policy resolutions. These were adopted on November 25, 2025, and September 10, 2026. As part of the arrangements, the Excise Department will negotiate possible preferential treatment with companies planning new Thai factories. However, the government has not finalised the conditions governing those concessions.

Unsettled import quotas cloud 2027 plans as dealers prepare for a rush followed by weaker vehicle sales

Import quotas and eligibility requirements remain unresolved. These details could determine the tax treatment of manufacturers preparing to establish production facilities during 2027.

In particular, companies may seek concessions covering imported vehicles before their Thai factories begin operating. Until those arrangements are settled, import-dependent manufacturers face uncertainty over their costs after January.

The immediate pressure is on existing vehicle stocks. Distributors have less than two months before the higher rates take effect. Consequently, industry representatives expect accelerated purchases, promotional campaigns and increased bookings during the final weeks of 2026. The approaching Motor Expo has become a particular focus of those forecasts.

Yet the anticipated buying rush has also triggered warnings of a subsequent slump. Suwat Supakarndechakul, Vice President of the FTI and Chairman of its Automotive Industry Club, raised the concern on October 20. He warned that higher taxes could encourage customers to bring forward purchases planned for 2027. As a result, stronger sales during November and December could leave fewer buyers entering the market next year.

Importers could also accelerate shipments ahead of January. That would increase stocks available for sale before the higher rates begin. At the same time, distributors may introduce discounts to clear vehicles already held in Thailand. Suwat warned that this combination could produce a particularly strong year-end market followed by weaker demand.

Domestic carmakers welcome protection but importers face rising costs and possible market withdrawals

The warning presents a sharp contrast with the wider industry’s endorsement of the policy. Domestic manufacturers expect stronger protection against imported vehicles.

By comparison, distributors relying on overseas production face higher costs and possible pressure on demand. The approaching deadline has therefore created different commercial priorities across the automotive sector.

Suwat also warned that some manufacturers could eventually withdraw from Thailand if their operations became uncompetitive. Such departures could affect existing customers requiring servicing, replacement parts and warranty support. However, no specific manufacturer has announced plans to leave because of the Cabinet decision. The warning remains a concern raised by an industry leader rather than a confirmed development.

Surapong Paisitpatthanapong, adviser to the chairman of the FTI’s Automotive Industry Club and its spokesman, also welcomed the increase. He said domestic manufacturers initially considered the 35% rate appropriate.

Moreover, he expected the measure to help reduce imports of finished electric vehicles. The eventual impact, he cautioned, would depend on the detailed regulations and manufacturers’ responses.

Motor Expo bookings could surge before January as imported electric vehicle prices face a 10% rise

Surapong expects imports, sales and registrations to accelerate before the end of December. He specifically identified the 2026 Motor Expo as a major opportunity for increased bookings. The exhibition begins in December, shortly before the new rates take effect. Accordingly, automotive companies are expected to introduce promotions aimed at securing customers ahead of January.

He suggested that bookings could reach unusually high levels during the exhibition. Another factor is the elevated cost of oil linked to the Middle East conflict. Surapong identified high fuel prices as an additional influence supporting EV demand. Nevertheless, confirmed November sales figures establishing a buying rush have not yet been provided.

The expected surge could also be followed by higher prices for imported models. A November 3 report cited a senior executive at an unnamed Chinese automotive manufacturer. The executive estimated that some imported EVs could become up to 10% more expensive during 2027. For a vehicle currently costing ฿1 million, that would represent an increase of approximately ฿100,000.

The executive stressed that manufacturers would not necessarily pass the entire excise increase directly to customers. Instead, price adjustments would depend on individual companies’ costs and commercial decisions. Some importers may absorb part of the additional tax. Others could raise prices to recover higher expenses.

Manufacturers weigh higher costs while industry leaders defend Thai jobs, factories and local suppliers

Surapong similarly said the impact would vary between manufacturers. Companies must consider their import costs, customer demand and competition from domestically produced vehicles. Subsequently, the industry will monitor both imported vehicle volumes and retail prices. Those figures will help establish the commercial impact of the new rates.

Despite the warnings, the Federation of Thai Industries has given the policy strong backing. FTI President Pimjai Leeissaranukul welcomed the Cabinet decision on November 3. She said the increase would support manufacturers investing in Thai production facilities. In her assessment, companies establishing factories and purchasing locally manufactured components should compete under fairer conditions.

Pimjai also identified technology transfers, employment and domestic investment as important objectives. The federation argues that imported finished vehicles generate less domestic manufacturing activity than locally assembled models. Therefore, it supports preferential arrangements for manufacturers operating production facilities in Thailand.

The FTI highlighted the automotive industry’s substantial contribution to the Thai economy. According to the federation, the sector accounts for approximately 10% of gross domestic product. Furthermore, more than 800,000 people work across automotive manufacturing and its supply networks. The federation also identified over 3,000 small and medium-sized enterprises connected with vehicle production.

Automotive suppliers count on domestic production as FTI forecasts 7% growth despite sales warnings

These businesses supply components, raw materials, engineering services and other manufacturing requirements. Their operations extend well beyond vehicle assembly plants. Parts manufacturers and supporting companies depend heavily on orders from domestic factories. Consequently, the FTI argues that expanding Thai production would support employment throughout the supply chain.

Pimjai also presented a positive forecast for 2027. The federation expects automotive industry growth of at least 7%, with production reaching no fewer than 1.55 million vehicles. However, she acknowledged that the outlook depends partly on inventories imported before January 1. Existing stocks could therefore influence production and sales during the coming year.

The forecast contrasts with warnings of weaker demand following the anticipated buying rush. Nevertheless, the two projections concern different parts of the market. The FTI expects overall automotive production to increase, while senior representatives warn of weaker imported EV sales. A decline in imports would not necessarily prevent domestic production growth.

The Thai Automotive Industry Association has also endorsed the decision. Its president, Yupin Boonsirichan, joined Suwat in thanking the government for restructuring excise taxes on imported finished vehicles. Both organisations said the measure would support manufacturing investment and domestic production. They also pledged to examine the detailed regulations with government officials before implementation.

Industry groups back higher duties as cheap imported EVs put pressure on Thailand’s established carmakers

The organisations cited more than 2,500 businesses operating throughout the automotive supply chain. They also highlighted employment exceeding 800,000 workers. These businesses include vehicle manufacturers, component suppliers, raw material producers and supporting service companies. In their assessment, local production distributes manufacturing activity across a wider network of Thai enterprises.

Surapong pointed to Thailand’s long-established position as a major automotive manufacturing centre. He said the industry had developed over 65 years, making Thailand the world’s eleventh-largest vehicle producer. The country has also established extensive automotive export operations. However, the rapid expansion of imported electric vehicles has intensified competition with established domestic manufacturers.

According to Surapong, relatively cheap imported EVs have entered Thailand in substantial numbers. He said imported electric vehicles had exceeded domestically manufactured EVs in the market. This had created difficulties for manufacturers operating Thai factories, including producers of conventional and electric vehicles. Local parts suppliers had also faced pressure from vehicles assembled entirely overseas.

Industry representatives had therefore called for the excise rate to increase to 35%. The Cabinet’s decision follows those demands. Surapong thanked the government for supporting domestic manufacturing and existing investment. He also linked the measure to plans for expanding Thailand’s automotive exports.

Thailand seeks more automotive exports while Tesla and other import-dependent brands face higher taxes

The industry wants electric vehicle manufacturers to establish factories serving domestic and international markets. In particular, Surapong identified opportunities to build on Thailand’s existing vehicle export operations. Manufacturers could produce electric vehicles locally while maintaining exports of conventional models. The FTI also wants Thailand to diversify its export markets as vehicle technologies change.

For import-dependent brands, the immediate challenge is different. Several international manufacturers could face higher taxation on electric models brought into Thailand.

Reports published on November 3 identified Tesla, Volvo, Porsche and Audi among potentially affected brands. However, the precise treatment of individual models depends on the final regulations and applicable concessions.

The reports do not establish that every EV sold by those manufacturers will attract the 35% rate. Nevertheless, companies without qualifying Thai factories face a different position from established domestic producers. They must consider higher import costs, possible price increases and future manufacturing investments.

Several Chinese manufacturers are already reviewing their production plans. Liu Ning, general manager of Leapmotor (Thailand), confirmed plans to establish a Thai factory. The company intends to begin manufacturing during 2027. However, the new excise rates take effect before that production programme begins. The treatment of Leapmotor imports during the transition therefore remains an important unresolved issue.

XPeng and Geely examine Thai assembly while BYD backs higher taxes and considers more local production

XPeng is also examining the possibility of establishing manufacturing operations in Thailand. James Wu, the company’s vice-president, said the country remained strategically important. XPeng has already pursued investments in Indonesia and Malaysia. However, the company has not announced a timetable for a Thai factory.

Geely is also adjusting its investment plans concerning domestic vehicle assembly. These developments come as the government prepares to increase taxes on imported finished vehicles. Even so, the companies’ eventual tax positions will depend on their production arrangements and the final rules.

BYD is in a different position because it already manufactures vehicles in Thailand. Pratarnwong Phornprapha, chief executive officer of Rêver Group, welcomed the Cabinet decision. Rêver distributes BYD vehicles in Thailand. Pratarnwong said BYD had already made substantial investments in Thai manufacturing and local suppliers.

In addition, Rêver is discussing the possibility of manufacturing more BYD models domestically. The company’s position illustrates the distinction between manufacturers with established factories and brands relying on imports. Qualifying locally manufactured EVs can receive preferential excise treatment. Imported finished vehicles, by contrast, face higher rates unless specific concessions apply.

Unresolved import concessions complicate investment as Thailand pushes advanced automotive technology

The government has yet to settle all arrangements for manufacturers planning new investments. Import quotas remain particularly important. These could determine how many finished vehicles companies with Thai investment commitments may import under preferential conditions. The Excise Department has been instructed to negotiate possible concessions with prospective investors.

However, the detailed eligibility requirements have not been confirmed. Manufacturers considering new factories therefore face uncertainty over their tax treatment before production begins. The outcome could affect investment schedules and the commercial position of imported models during 2027.

The decision also forms part of the FTI’s wider Reinvent Thailand strategy. The programme is being promoted through the Joint Public-Private Sector Committee for Economic Problem Solving. Its objective is to develop higher-value automotive manufacturing rather than concentrate solely on production volumes. As part of this, the federation wants greater investment in electric vehicle components and advanced technology.

The programme includes domestic production of electric vehicle components, commonly described as E-Parts. It also supports research facilities and connected and autonomous vehicle systems. Alongside these developments, the FTI wants Thailand to maintain manufacturing capabilities across several vehicle technologies.

Industry seeks new factories and research as EV price competition puts pressure on vehicle inventories

These include conventional pickup trucks, battery electric vehicles, hybrids, plug-in hybrids and range-extended electric vehicles. The federation is also seeking additional investment from established international manufacturers. Japan, Europe and the United States have been identified as important sources of industrial partnerships.

Leading automotive and technology companies from other markets are also being encouraged to expand Thai operations. The strategy includes new component factories, research centres and business partnerships. It also seeks to connect Thai suppliers with international manufacturing networks.

Yet the immediate EV market faces a more pressing challenge. Thailand has already experienced intense price competition and pressure to clear vehicle inventories. Krungsri Research documented these conditions in September 2025. Its analysis anticipated that price competition could moderate during 2026 and 2027 as production obligations and costs changed.

The new excise rates introduce another major factor into manufacturers’ pricing decisions. Distributors holding imported vehicles must decide how to manage stocks before January. Some may introduce discounts to accelerate sales. Others could adjust import schedules or review planned vehicle launches.

Unclear stock levels and registration rules leave dealers and EV buyers facing uncertainty before January

At the same time, manufacturers must assess whether higher taxes will reduce demand for imported models next year. However, confirmed figures showing the total volume of unsold imported EVs have not been provided. There is also no established breakdown identifying which manufacturers hold the largest inventories.

Consequently, the scale of any December clearance campaign remains uncertain. Industry representatives expect stronger bookings, but the size of the anticipated increase has not been established. The impact on demand during 2027 is similarly unconfirmed.

The timing of excise liability presents another unresolved issue. Although the new rates take effect on January 1, the treatment of vehicles already imported requires clarification. Specifically, the industry needs confirmation of the relevant deadlines governing importation, taxation and registration.

Representatives expect accelerated registrations before the end of December. However, that expectation does not establish that every imported EV must be registered before January 1. The legal tax trigger remains important for distributors and customers. Vehicles imported before the deadline may face different circumstances from those entering Thailand during 2027.

Dealers face deadline as industry weighs warranty risks, price increases and a possible 2027 slump

The precise arrangements have yet to be confirmed. This distinction could become particularly important during December’s Motor Expo. Dealers may promote existing stocks ahead of the higher rates. Nevertheless, forecasts of future price increases remain separate from confirmed retail prices.

The industry also faces questions concerning servicing and warranties if import-dependent brands struggle commercially. Suwat previously warned that some manufacturers could eventually withdraw from Thailand. Such departures could affect customers requiring replacement parts and after-sales support. However, no specific manufacturer has confirmed plans to leave because of the tax increase.

The FTI intends to monitor developments after January 1. It will examine imported vehicle volumes, retail prices and the competitive position of domestic manufacturers. The federation also expects to assess whether higher taxes encourage additional investment in Thai production.

For the government, domestic manufacturing remains the central objective. Manufacturers already operating Thai factories have welcomed the decision. By contrast, import-dependent brands face higher costs, unresolved concessions and possible pressure on sales.

The differences are equally clear in the industry’s forecasts. Pimjai expects automotive production to grow by at least 7% during 2027. Suwat, however, has warned that accelerated purchases could produce a slump after the year-end rush. Surapong also expects strong bookings during December’s Motor Expo.

Importers brace for higher prices as Thailand’s EV industry faces a buying rush and weaker 2027 demand

The approaching deadline has therefore divided the industry’s immediate outlook. Domestic manufacturers expect stronger protection, while importers face higher costs and uncertain demand. Consumers could encounter increased promotional activity before January, followed by higher prices on some imported models.

The Cabinet has confirmed the 35% rate and its January 1 implementation date. Nevertheless, import quotas, investment concessions and the treatment of existing stocks remain unsettled. The scale of any year-end buying rush also remains unconfirmed.

Thailand’s automotive industry now enters the final weeks of 2026 facing contrasting forecasts. The FTI expects stronger domestic production, while its senior automotive representatives warn of weaker demand next year. Meanwhile, import-dependent manufacturers must prepare for higher taxes and possible retail price increases.

The immediate focus is December’s Motor Expo and the race to complete sales before January. After that, the industry faces the prospect of higher imported EV prices and a potential sales slump in 2027.

Thailand prepares to impose a 30% tax on EVs built outside the kingdom in a move to boost its auto base

Panic in government as Japanese auto firms hit back at years of neglect in favour of Chinese EV makers

Thailand recalibrates policy as data shows Chinese EVS gaining with many not made in the kingdom

Toyota reaffirms its commitment to Thailand after tax relief move and amid a courtship from Indonesia

Thailand’s plan to become an EV manufacturing hub may yet go up in smoke if industry costs are not cut

Government to use loan funds to push EV conversions for old cars in what could be a niche growth industry

Another EV car fire erupted in the northern province of Phichit as three homes went up in flames nearby

Khon Kaen Police probing a pre dawn blaze caused by a charging EV that burned down a family home

Volvo withdraws one of its EV models in a disastrous week for the firm in Thailand with exploding cars

Government sends strong warning to EV industry after a dramatic surge in consumer complaints

Thaksin wants higher excise duties on EV cars that are simply assembled in Thailand by Chinese firms

Chinese EV players in Thailand may opt out of subsidies as a difficult year ends. Optimism for electric cars

Chinese EV industry in Thailand faces a crisis. It is demanding an urgent hearing from the government

Joseph Anthony is an expat from Ireland who has lived in Thailand for the last decade. He has worked extensively in the media including editorial positions in Ireland and Thailand. He is focused on economic and business stories in Thailand as well as the expat lifestyle.

All posts by Joseph O' Connor

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2026年11月4日上午11:43

经济、生活、媒体、政治、泰国

泰国政府计划自2027年1月1日起对进口电动汽车征收35%的消费税，此举引发了各方不同的反应，并有人警告称，这将导致销量下滑。泰国副总理兼财政部长埃克尼提·尼提坦帕帕斯证实了这一决定，并得到了泰国工业联合会的支持。然而，进口商们正面临着一场年底前的疯狂抢购，力求在高税收生效前清空未售出的电动汽车。部分车型的价格可能会上涨10万泰铢。与此同时，业内人士警告称，外国品牌可能会退出泰国市场，导致车主面临零部件短缺和保修服务不足的困境。政府的目标是保护国内工厂和80万个汽车行业就业岗位。尽管有人警告称，12月份的抢购热潮可能会在2027年引发销量大幅下滑，但泰国工业联合会仍预测，该行业将实现7%的增长。

泰国副总理兼财政部长埃克尼蒂·尼蒂坦帕帕斯确认，自2027年起，电动汽车进口税将提高至35%。泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）支持此举，但警告称此举可能导致抢购潮和销量下滑。（来源：暹罗快讯）

泰国决定自2027年1月1日起将进口电动汽车的消费税提高至35%，这一决定在汽车行业引发了分歧。国内制造商对这项保护措施表示欢迎，但业内人士警告称，明年销量将出现下滑。

与此同时，进口商正争分夺秒地在截止日期前清空未售出的车辆。预计12月的汽车博览会将迎来抢购热潮，部分进口电动汽车的价格可能上涨高达10%。泰国工业联合会（FTI）支持这项措施，但警告称2027年的需求可能会疲软。没有泰国工厂的制造商也面临着未来投资、定价和市场准入方面越来越大的压力。

内阁于11月3日星期二在乌隆他尼举行的会议上批准了此次增税方案。副总理兼财政部长埃克尼提·尼提坦帕帕斯确认了该决定。根据修订后的税率结构，进口纯电动汽车（BEV）的消费税将从10%提高到35%。此外，进口增程型电动汽车（REEV）的税率也将从15%提高到35%。

由于政府偏袒泰国工厂并就投资优惠进行谈判，进口电动汽车税大幅上涨。

此次调整意味着纯电动汽车（BEV）税率上调25个百分点，混合动力电动汽车（REEV）税率上调20个百分点。然而，新税率并非适用于所有在泰国销售的电动汽车。新税率主要针对进口整车，这些整车并非在泰国境内生产，也没有本地生产的零部件。目前，部分本地生产的电动汽车仅需缴纳2%的消费税。

政府明确区分了在泰国投资的制造商和进口整车的公司。埃克尼蒂表示，此举将鼓励国内生产，加强本地供应链，并促进就业。

此外，政府希望制造商从泰国供应商采购更多零部件。该政策还旨在吸引更多投资进入汽车制造业。

泰国消费税厅厅长蓬猜·提拉维贾证实，该决定是根据此前通过的国家电动汽车政策决议制定的。这些决议分别于2025年11月25日和2026年9月10日获得通过。作为相关安排的一部分，消费税厅将与计划在泰国新建工厂的公司协商可能的优惠待遇。然而，政府尚未最终确定这些优惠的具体条件。

进口配额悬而未决，令2027年计划蒙上阴影，经销商们正准备迎接销售旺季，随后预计销量将放缓。

进口配额和资格要求仍未确定。这些细节可能会决定计划在2027年建立生产设施的制造商的税务待遇。

尤其值得注意的是，一些公司可能会寻求在泰国工厂投产前，就进口车辆获得优惠待遇。在这些安排达成之前，依赖进口的制造商在1月之后将面临成本方面的不确定性。

眼下的压力主要集中在现有车辆库存上。经销商只有不到两个月的时间来应对更高的利率。因此，业内人士预计，在2026年最后几周，采购量、促销活动和预订量都将加快增长。即将到来的汽车博览会也成为这些预测的重点。

然而，预期中的抢购热潮也引发了人们对随后市场低迷的担忧。印度汽车工业联合会（FTI）副主席兼汽车行业俱乐部主席苏瓦特·苏帕卡恩德查库尔（Suwat Supakarndechakul）于10月20日提出了这一担忧。他警告说，更高的税收可能会促使消费者将原计划在2027年进行的购买提前。因此，11月和12月强劲的销售可能会导致明年进入市场的买家减少。

进口商也可能在1月份之前加快发货速度。这将增加高关税生效前可供销售的库存。与此同时，经销商可能会推出折扣，以清理已在泰国的库存车辆。苏瓦特警告称，这些因素叠加可能会导致年底市场异常强劲，随后需求疲软。

国内汽车制造商欢迎保护措施，但进口商面临成本上升和可能退出市场的风险。

这一警告与整个行业对该政策的支持形成鲜明对比。国内制造商希望获得更有力的保护，以应对进口车辆带来的冲击。

相比之下，依赖海外生产的经销商面临更高的成本和潜在的需求压力。因此，临近的最后期限导致汽车行业各企业的商业优先事项有所不同。

苏瓦特还警告说，如果某些制造商的业务失去竞争力，它们最终可能会撤出泰国市场。此类撤离可能会影响现有客户，因为他们需要维修、更换零件和保修服务。然而，目前尚无任何制造商因内阁的决定而宣布撤离计划。这一警告目前仍只是行业领袖提出的担忧，而非已确认的事件。

印度汽车工业联合会（FTI）汽车产业俱乐部主席顾问兼发言人苏拉蓬·派西帕塔纳蓬也对此次税率上调表示欢迎。他表示，国内制造商最初认为35%的税率是合适的。

此外，他预计这项措施将有助于减少成品电动汽车的进口。但他同时指出，最终的影响将取决于具体的法规和制造商的应对措施。

由于进口电动汽车价格面临10%的上涨，预计1月份车展前的预订量将大幅增加。

苏拉蓬预计，进口量、销量和注册量将在12月底前加速增长。他特别指出，2026年国际车展是提升预订量的重要契机。该车展将于12月开幕，紧随新价格生效之前。因此，预计各汽车公司将在1月前推出促销活动，以吸引客户。

他预测，展会期间预订量可能会达到异常高的水平。另一个因素是与中东冲突相关的石油价格上涨。苏拉蓬指出，高油价是支撑电动汽车需求的另一个因素。然而，目前尚未公布证实11月份出现抢购潮的确切销售数据。

预计的上涨趋势也可能导致进口车型价格上涨。11月3日的一份报告援引一位未具名的中国汽车制造商高管的话称，部分进口电动汽车的价格在2027年可能会上涨高达10%。对于目前售价为100万泰铢的汽车而言，这意味着价格将上涨约10万泰铢。

该高管强调，制造商不一定会将全部消费税上涨直接转嫁给消费者。相反，价格调整将取决于各公司的成本和商业决策。一些进口商可能会自行承担部分额外税负，而另一些进口商则可能提高价格以弥补增加的成本。

制造商权衡成本上涨因素，而行业领袖则力挺泰国就业岗位、工厂和本地供应商。

苏拉蓬也表示，新税率对不同制造商的影响会有所不同。各公司必须考虑进口成本、客户需求以及来自国产汽车的竞争。随后，业界将密切关注进口汽车的数量和零售价格。这些数据将有助于评估新税率的商业影响。

尽管存在一些警告，泰国工业联合会（FTI）仍对该政策给予了强有力的支持。FTI主席皮姆贾伊·利萨拉努库尔（Pimjai Leeissaranukul）对11月3日内阁的决定表示欢迎。她表示，此次增资将支持制造商投资泰国生产设施。她认为，企业在泰国建厂和采购本地制造的零部件时，应该在更公平的条件下展开竞争。

Pimjai还将技术转让、就业和国内投资列为重要目标。该联合会认为，进口整车比本地组装的车型更能促进国内制造业活动。因此，它支持为在泰国设有生产设施的制造商提供优惠政策。

泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）强调了汽车产业对泰国经济的巨大贡献。据该联合会称，汽车产业约占泰国国内生产总值的10%。此外，超过80万人从事汽车制造及其供应链相关工作。该联合会还统计了3000多家与汽车生产相关的中小型企业。

尽管销售发出警告，但FTI预测汽车供应商仍将增长7%，他们寄希望于国内生产。

这些企业供应零部件、原材料、工程服务及其他制造所需物资。它们的业务范围远不止于汽车组装厂。零部件制造商和配套企业严重依赖国内工厂的订单。因此，泰国金融贸易协会（FTI）认为，扩大泰国的生产规模将有助于整个供应链的就业。

皮姆贾伊还对2027年做出了乐观预测。该联合会预计汽车行业将至少增长7%，产量不少于155万辆。然而，她也承认，这一前景部分取决于1月1日之前的进口库存。因此，现有库存可能会影响来年的生产和销售。

这一预测与此前关于预期抢购潮后需求疲软的警告形成鲜明对比。然而，这两种预测针对的是市场的不同部分。FTI预计整体汽车产量将增长，而其高级代表则警告称进口电动汽车销量将下降。进口下降并不一定会阻止国内产量增长。

泰国汽车工业协会也对这项决定表示支持。该协会主席尤平·汶西里昌与苏瓦特一同感谢政府调整进口整车消费税。两家机构均表示，此举将有助于支持制造业投资和国内生产。他们还承诺在实施前与政府官员仔细研究相关细则。

行业团体支持提高关税，因为廉价进口电动汽车给泰国老牌汽车制造商带来了压力。

这些机构列举了遍布汽车供应链的2500多家企业，并强调这些企业雇佣了超过80万名员工。这些企业包括整车制造商、零部件供应商、原材料生产商和配套服务公司。他们评估认为，本地生产将制造业活动分散到更广泛的泰国企业网络中。

苏拉蓬指出，泰国长期以来一直是重要的汽车制造中心。他表示，该行业经过65年的发展，使泰国成为世界第十一大汽车生产国。泰国还建立了广泛的汽车出口业务。然而，进口电动汽车的快速扩张加剧了与国内老牌汽车制造商之间的竞争。

据苏拉蓬称，价格相对低廉的进口电动汽车已大量涌入泰国市场。他表示，进口电动汽车的市场份额已超过国产电动汽车。这给在泰国设有工厂的制造商，包括传统汽车和电动汽车生产商，都带来了困难。本地零部件供应商也面临着来自海外组装车辆的压力。

因此，行业代表呼吁将消费税率提高至35%。内阁的决定正是响应了这些诉求。苏拉蓬感谢政府对国内制造业和现有投资的支持。他还将此举与扩大泰国汽车出口的计划联系起来。

泰国寻求增加汽车出口，而特斯拉和其他依赖进口的品牌则面临更高的税收。

业界希望电动汽车制造商建立工厂，服务于国内和国际市场。苏拉蓬特别指出，可以利用泰国现有的汽车出口业务拓展业务。制造商可以在本地生产电动汽车，同时继续出口传统车型。随着汽车技术的变革，泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）也希望泰国实现出口市场的多元化。

对于依赖进口的品牌而言，眼前的挑战有所不同。一些国际制造商进口到泰国的电动车型可能面临更高的税收。

11月3日发布的报告指出，特斯拉、沃尔沃、保时捷和奥迪等品牌可能受到影响。然而，具体车型将如何处置，取决于最终法规和适用的优惠政策。

报告并未明确指出这些制造商销售的每辆电动汽车都将适用35%的税率。然而，没有符合条件的泰国工厂的公司与成熟的本土生产商面临着不同的处境。它们必须考虑更高的进口成本、可能的价格上涨以及未来的生产投资。

多家中国制造商已开始重新评估其生产计划。Leapmotor（泰国）总经理刘宁证实了在泰国建厂的计划。该公司计划于2027年开始生产。然而，新的消费税率将在该生产计划启动之前生效。因此，Leapmotor进口产品在过渡期间的待遇问题仍是一个悬而未决的重要问题。

小鹏和吉利正在考察泰国组装业务，而比亚迪则支持提高税收并考虑增加本地化生产。

小鹏汽车也在考虑在泰国建立生产基地。该公司副总裁吴先生表示，泰国对小鹏汽车而言仍然具有重要的战略意义。小鹏汽车此前已在印尼和马来西亚进行过投资。然而，该公司尚未公布在泰国建厂的具体时间表。

吉利也在调整其在国内汽车组装方面的投资计划。与此同时，政府正准备提高进口整车的税收。即便如此，各公司最终的税务状况仍将取决于其生产安排和最终的政策规定。

比亚迪的情况有所不同，因为它已经在泰国生产汽车。Rêver集团首席执行官Pratarnwong Phornprapha对内阁的决定表示欢迎。Rêver是比亚迪在泰国的经销商。Pratarnwong表示，比亚迪已经对泰国制造业和当地供应商进行了大量投资。

此外，Rêver正在探讨在国内生产更多比亚迪车型的可能性。该公司的立场体现了拥有成熟工厂的制造商与依赖进口的品牌之间的区别。符合条件的本地生产的电动汽车可以享受优惠的消费税待遇。相比之下，进口整车则需缴纳更高的税率，除非符合特定优惠条件。

泰国大力推进先进汽车技术，但进口优惠政策悬而未决，令投资变得复杂。

政府尚未就制造商计划的新投资项目敲定所有安排。进口配额仍然至关重要。这些配额将决定有多少已承诺在泰国投资的整车公司能够以优惠条件进口。税务部门已被指示与潜在投资者协商可能的优惠政策。

然而，具体的资格要求尚未确定。因此，考虑新建工厂的制造商在投产前将面临税务处理的不确定性。最终结果可能会影响投资计划以及2027年进口车型的市场地位。

该决定也是泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）更广泛的“重塑泰国”战略的一部分。该计划由公共和私营部门经济问题联合委员会负责推进。其目标是发展高附加值汽车制造业，而非仅仅追求产量。为此，该联合会希望加大对电动汽车零部件和先进技术的投资。

该计划包括电动汽车零部件（通常称为E-Parts）的国内生产，并支持研发设施以及互联和自动驾驶汽车系统。与此同时，泰国联邦技术研究院（FTI）希望泰国能够保持多种汽车技术的制造能力。

由于电动汽车价格竞争加剧，车辆库存面临压力，行业正在寻求新的工厂和研发项目。

这些车型包括传统皮卡、纯电动汽车、混合动力汽车、插电式混合动力汽车和增程型电动汽车。该联盟还在寻求来自成熟国际制造商的更多投资。日本、欧洲和美国已被视为重要的产业合作伙伴来源地。

泰国政府也鼓励其他市场的领先汽车和科技公司扩大在泰国的业务。该战略包括新建零部件工厂、研发中心和建立商业伙伴关系，并致力于将泰国供应商与国际制造网络连接起来。

然而，泰国电动汽车市场目前面临着更为紧迫的挑战。泰国已经经历了激烈的价格竞争和清理库存的压力。Krungsri Research在2025年9月记录了这些情况。其分析预测，随着生产义务和成本的变化，价格竞争在2026年和2027年可能会有所缓和。

新的消费税率为制造商的定价决策引入了另一个重要因素。持有进口车辆的经销商必须在1月份之前决定如何管理库存。一些经销商可能会推出折扣以促进销售，而另一些经销商则可能调整进口计划或重新评估新车上市计划。

库存水平和注册规则不明朗，使得经销商和电动汽车买家在1月份之前都面临着不确定性。

与此同时，制造商必须评估提高税收是否会降低明年进口车型的需求。然而，目前尚未有确切数据表明未售出的进口电动汽车总量。此外，也没有明确的细分数据来确定哪些制造商的库存量最大。

因此，12月份的清仓促销规模仍存在不确定性。业内人士预计预订量将有所增长，但预期增幅尚未确定。同样，2027年的需求变化也尚未得到证实。

消费税缴纳时间是另一个尚未解决的问题。尽管新税率将于1月1日生效，但已进口车辆的处理方式仍需进一步明确。具体而言，业界需要确认进口、征税和登记的相关截止日期。

代表们预计，12月底前电动汽车注册速度将加快。然而，这并不意味着所有进口电动汽车都必须在1月1日前注册。对于经销商和消费者而言，法定的税收触发条件仍然至关重要。在截止日期前进口的车辆可能面临与2027年之后进入泰国的车辆不同的情况。

经销商面临最后期限，因为行业正在权衡保修风险、价格上涨以及2027年可能出现的低迷。

具体安排尚未最终确定。这一区别在12月的汽车博览会期间可能尤为重要。经销商可能会在价格上涨前促销现有库存。然而，未来价格上涨的预测与已确认的零售价格仍是两回事。

如果依赖进口的品牌在商业上遭遇困境，售后服务和保修问题也将随之而来。苏瓦特此前曾警告称，一些制造商最终可能会撤出泰国市场。此类撤离可能会影响客户对替换零件和售后支持的需求。然而，目前尚无任何制造商证实会因税收增加而撤离泰国。

泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）计划密切关注1月1日之后的各项事态发展。该联合会将考察进口汽车数量、零售价格以及国内制造商的竞争力。此外，该联合会还希望评估提高税收是否会刺激对泰国制造业的更多投资。

对政府而言，发展国内制造业仍然是核心目标。已在泰国建厂的制造商对这一决定表示欢迎。相比之下，依赖进口的品牌则面临更高的成本、悬而未决的让步问题以及潜在的销售压力。

行业预测的差异同样显而易见。Pimjai 预计 2027 年汽车产量将至少增长 7%。然而，Suwat 警告称，年底购车高峰过后，加速增长可能会导致销量下滑。Surapong 也预计 12 月的国际车展期间订单量将强劲增长。

由于泰国电动汽车行业面临抢购潮和2027年需求疲软的双重压力，进口商们正准备迎接更高的价格。

因此，临近的最后期限导致业内对近期前景的看法出现分歧。国内制造商预期将获得更强有力的保护，而进口商则面临成本上升和需求不确定性。消费者可能会在1月份之前遇到促销活动增多的情况，随后部分进口车型的价格也会上涨。

内阁已确认35%的税率及其1月1日的实施日期。然而，进口配额、投资优惠以及现有库存的处理方式仍未确定。年底抢购潮的规模也尚未可知。

泰国汽车行业即将进入2026年的最后几周，面临着截然不同的预测。泰国汽车工业联合会（FTI）预计国内产量将有所增长，而其高级汽车行业代表则警告称，明年需求将疲软。与此同时，依赖进口的制造商必须为更高的税收和可能的零售价格上涨做好准备。

眼下的重点是12月的车展以及在1月前完成销售的竞赛。之后，该行业将面临进口电动汽车价格上涨以及2027年潜在的销量下滑。

泰国准备对境外生产的电动汽车征收30%的税，以提振其汽车产业基础。

日本汽车企业对多年来政府忽视、偏袒中国电动汽车制造商的做法展开反击，引发政府恐慌。

数据显示，中国制造的环保产品在泰国市场占据主导地位，其中许多并非产自泰国，泰国因此调整政策。

在泰国政府采取税收减免措施以及印尼方面积极寻求合作之际，丰田重申了其对泰国市场的承诺。

如果行业成本得不到削减，泰国成为电动汽车制造中心的计划可能最终会化为泡影。

政府将利用贷款资金推动旧车电动汽车改装，这可能是一个利基增长行业。

北部披集府再次发生电动汽车起火事故，附近三栋房屋被大火吞噬。

孔敬警方正在调查一起凌晨发生的火灾，起因是一辆正在充电的电动汽车烧毁了一户人家的房屋。

在泰国发生多起汽车爆炸事故后，沃尔沃本周遭遇灾难性打击，并召回了一款电动汽车车型。

消费者投诉激增后，政府向电动汽车行业发出严厉警告

他信希望对中国企业在泰国组装的电动汽车征收更高的消费税。

随着艰难的一年即将结束，在泰国的中国电动汽车企业可能会选择退出补贴计划。电动汽车前景乐观。

中国电动汽车在泰国的产业正面临危机。该产业要求政府紧急举行听证会。

约瑟夫·安东尼是一位来自爱尔兰的侨民，过去十年一直居住在泰国。他曾在爱尔兰和泰国的媒体行业担任过编辑职务，拥有丰富的媒体从业经验。他主要关注泰国的经济和商业新闻，以及侨民的生活方式。

约瑟夫·奥康纳的所有帖子

2026年10月31日，旅游警察在曼谷市中心和考山路开展万圣节安保行动，95名警力突击巡逻考山路。

2026年10月31日，曼谷考山路午夜后因场所许可证管制而陷入黑暗，部长举行高级别会谈。曼谷的夜生活街区面临午夜关闭！

2026年10月30日，在风靡全球的热门电影《Thriller》中饰演迈克尔·杰克逊的泰国电视明星遭遇万圣节恐怖事件！《Thriller》变质！泰国电视明星杰斯·杰斯皮帕特面临

2026年10月30日，一名55岁僧侣驾车超速逃逸，撞死一名新婚年轻女子，警方展开追捕后将其抓获。这名僧侣的致命驾车行为导致一名21岁的新娘丧生。

苏格兰男子罗里·麦科尔 (Rory McColl) 在泰国遭遇法律噩梦，三月份误降泰国后数小时内便陷入困境，噩梦尚未结束（2026年10月30日）。电话误接引发的噩梦！麦科尔面临五项指控。

2026年10月29日，曼谷素万那普机场发生地面沉降事故，中华航空一架波音客机下方出现塌陷，导致航班延误，乘客被迫下机。曼谷机场噩梦成真。

网络警察仍在讯问一名否认拥有与总理有关的伪造付款单的Facebook页面运营者（2026年10月29日）。一张伪造的700万泰铢“茶水钱”付款单引发了……

2026年10月29日，在曼谷，四名缅甸籍外籍劳工因工资纠纷，在发薪日当天杀害了一名建筑工地监工。两对夫妇因工资纠纷杀害了一名建筑工地监工。

相思成疾的阿瑜陀耶男子从母亲身边绑架了四个月大的婴儿，并将其在夜色中扔进河里。2026年10月28日，这名四个月大的婴儿被发现溺亡在湄南河中。

警方将于周四再次申请逮捕令，追捕“Godd Dam”页面的幕后主使，扩大调查范围（2026年10月28日） 谁在操控“Godd Dam”？泰国网络警察正在寻找另一名嫌疑人

据报道，越南遭受损失，部长紧急提出向较小市场提供15天落地签证（2026年10月28日）。泰国签证改革在疫情高峰期前夕适得其反。

一名餐厅YouTube点评博主涉嫌诈骗，已被警方通缉。警方于2026年10月27日在暖武里府立案调查。该美食博主要求提供虾、饮料或其他食品。

2026年10月27日，一名以色列男子因涉嫌毒品和性犯罪被捕，他威胁警方和知名侦探杰伊警督。曼谷警方突袭毒品和性犯罪案件，逮捕了以色列人托默。

泰国警方发起新一轮打击行动，追捕1万名签证逾期滞留者（2026年10月26日） 泰国在全国范围内展开搜捕行动，追捕超过1万名签证逾期滞留者

2026年10月26日，曼谷一名19岁摩托车手因殴打鸣笛女司机而被捕入狱。事发时曼谷上演了令人震惊的一幕。

随着旅游业的衰退，泰国在建设更多航线连接方面落后于东南亚其他国家（2026年10月24日） 泰国旅游旺季警报：直航国际航线减少

一名以色列女子在帕岸岛面临签证被吊销后被驱逐出境。外交紧张局势加剧 20​​26年10月24日 一名33岁的以色列女子在帕岸岛面临签证被取消的困境

大赦国际负责人称柬埔寨政府或官员参与了该国仍然存在的诈骗产业 2026年10月31日

三名中国公民在缅甸达府附近被警方解救。警方高层要求给出解释。2026年10月31日

2026年10月30日，首相因传闻将削减南部警察津贴而受到议会议员的抨击。

新加坡捣毁了一个高档卖淫团伙，该团伙招募性感泰国女性到新加坡从事卖淫活动（2026年10月30日）。

2026年10月29日，缅甸克伦邦叛军与政府军之间的战争愈演愈烈，达府边境居民寻求庇护。

泰国总理撤销一名犹太领袖的公民身份，此前警方正在全国范围内调查哈巴德运动网络（2026年10月29日）

旅游业负责人对又一起中国绑架事件以及与大使馆的争执感到愤怒，认为这威胁到预订量（2026年10月29日）

泰国央行证实了泰国经济呈现两极分化的局面：一个经济蓬勃发展，另一个经济则在衰退中挣扎。（2026年10月28日）

一名因涉嫌增值税欺诈而被通缉的法国商人于本周三在苏梅岛被捕，此前国际刑警组织于2026年10月28日发布了通缉令。

泰国经济机构近期与总理阿努廷举行会谈后，泰国第三季度GDP或将有所增长（2026年10月28日）

2026年10月27日，一项调查发现数千名冒充泰国公民的华裔人士，该案可追溯至二十多年前。

新任警察局长希望警员们公开露面，并以警告代替罚款。2026年10月27日

2026年10月26日，在总理“茶钱”造假事件曝光后，特别部门和网络警察对“Godd Dam”脸书页面采取行动

政府发言人驳斥世界卫生组织（世卫组织）：不要干涉泰国内政 2026年10月26日

荷兰电视明星的神秘行踪愈发扑朔迷离，警方证实他已离开泰国，律师则声称他希望保持隐私。2026年10月25日

首相处境艰难，不信任投票似乎将在议会陷入停滞或推迟（2026年10月24日）

总理召见警察局长，命令做好准备，确保泰国不会像法国那样在2026年10月22日发生骚乱。

投资承诺有所增加，但前六个月的外国直接投资下降了近5%（2026年10月22日）

一名法国男子因涉嫌贩毒被移民局逮捕。官员于2026年10月22日在国际刑警组织的通缉名单上发现了他的踪迹。

周二晚间，一名醉酒女子在芭堤雅街头被扒光衣服并辱骂他人。她于2026年10月21日被警方逮捕。

前民主党高级助手兼国会议员于2026年10月21日会见了泰国特别调查局，讨论泰自豪党议员的丈夫与网络赌博的关联。

围绕两起与议员有关的网络赌博案件处理方式的争议：管辖权和公平性问题 2026年10月21日

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