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Trump’s midterm rout could mark the end of MAGA, says pollster David Black

David Black on Trump’s midterm rout and what it means for MAGA, US politics and Asia. Read more at straitstimes.com.

The Straits TimesBhavan Jaipragas查看原文 ↗

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民调专家大卫·布莱克表示,特朗普在中期选举中的惨败可能标志着“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动的终结。

In Your Opinion Podcast

The scale of the Republican defeat in the US midterm elections has stunned political observers.

Published Nov 05, 2026, 10:00 AM

Updated Nov 05, 2026, 10:00 AM

The Republican Party’s crushing defeat could reshape American politics, but Asia should not expect US politics to return to what it was before President Donald Trump, says the Blackbox Research CEO David Black.

In this conversation with The Straits Times’ senior columnist Bhavan Jaipragas - recorded on Nov 4, hours after polls closed - Black explains why he sees Trump’s defeat as an extraordinary act of political self-sabotage.

With Democrats projected to take control of both chambers of Congress, what comes next for President Donald Trump? Will he moderate his approach, or become even more combative?

Black also discusses what this means for Asia, and how Beijing might read the election results.

Highlights (click/tap above):

3:43 Republican midterm loss is the worst result since 1974

7:16 Why voters turned up in large numbers

9:27 Why Trump might ditch MAGA

11:42 Are Republicans distancing themselves from Trump?

12:58 Trump’s scapegoat: Pete Hegseth

14:35 Potential Democrat front-runners for the US presidency

20:17 Democrats “can’t do much about” tariffs

23:42 Impact of midterm results on the Iran war and US foreign policy

25:58 Would Asian diplomats and leaders change their approach towards the US?

28:00 China’s response to the US midterm election results

Read ST’s Opinion section: https://str.sg/w7sH

Host: Bhavan Jaipragas ( bhavan@sph.com.sg )

Produced and edited by: Teo Tong Kai

Executive producers: Danson Cheong & Lynda Hong

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ST Current Affairs Podcast

US midterm elections

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