NIDA opinion poll shows rising apathy among the Thai public as Prime Minister Anutin’s support crashes

September 27, 2026 at 10:04 pm

in Living , Media , Politics , Thailand

Thailand’s political battle took a dramatic turn on Sunday as Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul’s support crashed to 13.76% in the latest NIDA Poll. People’s Party leader Nattapong Ruangpanyawut still leads at 24.72%, while his party towers over rivals at 35.40%. Yet Nattapong is also sliding. Meanwhile, Pheu Thai is surging back, with Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan Wongsawat closing fast on Anutin. Most ominously for every major contender, 19.80% now reject the entire field as unsuitable for prime minister. That figure has more than doubled this year as economic pressure bites and political uncertainty raises the prospect of another electoral showdown.

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul crashes to 13.76% as People’s Party leader Nattapong Ruangpanyawut leads, while Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan Wongsawat closes in and 19.80% reject every PM candidate. ( Source: Siam Rath )

Thailand’s latest NIDA Poll has delivered a sharp warning to Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul and the country’s major political forces. Support for the Prime Minister has fallen dramatically during 2026. His Bhumjaithai Party has suffered a similar reversal.

However, People’s Party leader Nattapong Ruangpanyawut has problems of his own. He remains Thailand’s leading choice for prime minister. Yet his personal support has fallen for two consecutive quarters. Meanwhile, Pheu Thai has recovered substantial ground. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan Wongsawat has also emerged as a significant contender.

More strikingly, the biggest movement is towards none of them. Almost one Thai in five now says there is no suitable candidate for prime minister. That group has more than doubled since the beginning of 2026. Notably, it now ranks second in the NIDA survey. It stands ahead of Prime Minister Anutin and every named politician except Mr Nattapong.

NIDA poll puts Nattapong first as Anutin slides and nearly one in five voters reject all candidates

The findings came from NIDA Poll’s third-quarter political popularity survey, released on Sunday. The National Institute of Development Administration questioned 2,500 people nationwide between September 18 and 23. Respondents were aged 18 or above. In addition, they represented different regions, education levels, occupations and income groups.

NIDA used probability sampling from its Master Sample database. Researchers also employed multi-stage sampling and conducted telephone interviews. Overall, the poll was conducted at a 97% confidence level.

People’s Party leader Nattapong Ruangpanyawut remained the leading named choice for prime minister with 24.72%. However, that headline figure conceals a steady decline throughout 2026. Mr Nattapong began the year with 30.60% support during the first quarter. Subsequently, his rating fell to 26.08% during the second quarter. It has now fallen again to 24.72%.

As a result, Mr Nattapong has lost 5.88 percentage points since the first quarter. Nevertheless, he remains comfortably ahead of every other named politician. The sharper contrast comes from his own party. The People’s Party stands at 35.40%, more than ten percentage points above its leader.

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul has suffered a considerably more severe fall. At the beginning of 2026, he stood at 29.40%. At that stage, only 1.20 percentage points separated him from Mr Nattapong. Combined, the two politicians commanded exactly 60% support.

Anutin tumbles to third as voters choosing no suitable prime minister surge to almost one in five

Since then, the political picture has changed sharply. Prime Minister Anutin fell to 21.68% during the second quarter. His support has now dropped again to only 13.76%. Accordingly, he has lost 15.64 percentage points since the first quarter. The gap with Mr Nattapong has widened from 1.20 points to 10.96 points.

Prime Minister Anutin has also fallen from second to third place. Crucially, another politician did not overtake him. Instead, voters unable to find any suitable prime minister moved ahead.

Some 19.80% of respondents now say they have not yet found the right person. This represents one of the survey’s most dramatic movements. Only 8.20% gave that answer during the first quarter. Three months later, the figure increased to 10.24%. Now it has surged to 19.80%.

Consequently, the group without a suitable candidate has more than doubled since the beginning of 2026. It has also almost doubled during the latest quarter alone. Furthermore, it now exceeds Prime Minister Anutin’s support by 6.04 percentage points. It exceeds Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan’s rating by 8.52 points.

Only Mr Nattapong remains ahead of that group. Even then, the difference is just 4.92 percentage points. Earlier this year, the corresponding gap stood at 22.40 points. The narrowing has therefore been dramatic.

Another comparison exposes the scale of the movement. Mr Nattapong and Prime Minister Anutin commanded 60% during the first quarter. Now their combined support stands at only 38.48%. In nine months, their combined rating has fallen by 21.52 percentage points.

Pheu Thai regains ground as Yotsanan closes on Anutin while Bhumjaithai falls back to third place

Yet no single rival has captured anything approaching that loss. Mr Nattapong has not benefited from Prime Minister Anutin’s collapse. On the contrary, his own support has also fallen. Other named contenders remain far behind.

Pheu Thai has moved in a different direction. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan Wongsawat ranked fourth among preferred prime ministerial candidates with 11.28%. His latest result is slightly below the 11.64% recorded during the second quarter. Even so, he began the year considerably lower.

Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan received 8.08% during the first quarter. Thus, his support remains 3.20 percentage points above its early-2026 level. He now trails Prime Minister Anutin by only 2.48 percentage points. That margin places the two politicians relatively close in the latest survey.

Pheu Thai itself has made considerably stronger gains. The party now stands second nationally with 18.44%. It began 2026 with only 12.04%. In turn, Pheu Thai has gained 6.40 percentage points since the first quarter.

By contrast, Bhumjaithai has moved sharply backwards. The party now stands third with only 12.08%. Earlier this year, it held a substantial advantage over Pheu Thai. That position has now reversed. Pheu Thai leads Bhumjaithai by 6.36 percentage points.

People’s Party holds commanding national lead even as Nattapong’s personal support continues to fall

In parallel, the personal ratings show contrasting fortunes for their leading figures. Prime Minister Anutin has fallen heavily during 2026. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan remains above his first-quarter position. Pheu Thai has therefore returned to second place among the parties measured by NIDA.

Still, the People’s Party remains far ahead of both. It received 35.40%, compared with Pheu Thai’s 18.44%. Its support has also remained remarkably stable during 2026. The party has stayed around 34-35% throughout the three quarterly surveys.

That stability creates one of Sunday’s clearest political contrasts. Mr Nattapong’s personal rating has fallen from 30.60% to 24.72%. The People’s Party, however, continues to command more than one-third of respondents. Indeed, its support has edged upwards from 34.80% in the previous quarter.

Hence, Mr Nattapong’s personal decline has not produced a comparable fall in party preference. A 10.68-point gap now separates his rating from his party. The People’s Party remains dominant nationally while its leader has lost personal ground.

For the People’s Party, national polling represents only one measure of electoral strength. The NIDA survey measures nationwide political preferences. It does not measure local canvassing organisations, constituency machinery or provincial political networks.

People’s Party faces test converting national polling strength into constituency votes across provinces

Separately, those factors become important during electoral contests outside Bangkok and the wider metropolitan area. Parties must compete across the North, Northeast, Central region, West and South. National popularity must then translate into votes within individual constituencies.

Recent local contests have raised questions about that conversion. However, the latest NIDA survey cannot answer those questions. Its 35.40% figure establishes national party preference. It does not establish constituency-level organisational strength.

The distinction matters because national and local political contests operate differently. Provincial candidates can rely on longstanding political organisations and constituency networks. National party identification remains important. However, constituency elections also require effective local candidates and organisations.

Against that background, Mr Nattapong faces a clear numerical issue within the NIDA findings themselves. His party remains exceptionally strong while his personal rating continues falling. The gap between the People’s Party and its leader has consequently widened.

Bhumjaithai faces a different problem. Prime Minister Anutin and his party are both losing support. The Prime Minister stands at 13.76%, while Bhumjaithai stands at 12.08%. Only 1.68 percentage points separate the leader from his party.

Pheu Thai presents another pattern. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan receives 11.28% as a prime ministerial choice. Pheu Thai, however, commands 18.44% as a party. Party support therefore exceeds his personal rating by 7.16 percentage points.

Abhisit tracks Democrat support as smaller parties and prime ministerial contenders remain far behind

The Democrat Party shows much closer alignment. Former Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva received 9.60% as a prime ministerial choice. The Democrat Party received 9.80%. Accordingly, only 0.20 percentage points separate Mr Abhisit from his party.

Below the leading contenders, support becomes considerably more fragmented. Dr Warong Dechgitvigrom of the Thai Bhakdi Party received 5.68%. Khunying Sudarat Keyuraphan of Thai Sang Thai followed with 2.64%.

Elsewhere, Police Lieutenant General Rewat Klinngesorn of the Rak Muang Thai Party received 2.36%. Police General Seripisut Temiyaves of the Seri Ruam Thai Party received 2.24%. Former Prime Minister General Prayut Chan-o-cha stood at 1.52%.

Further down, General Rangsi Kitiyansap of the Economic Party received 1.48%. Peerapan Salirathavipak of Ruam Thai Sang Chart received 1.40%. Pheu Thai politician Chulaphan Amornvivat stood at 1.08%.

Another 2.44% selected other political figures. These included Treenuch Thianthong of the Palang Pracharath Party and Captain Thamanat Promphao of Kla Tham. Jatuporn Buruspat of the Okas Mai Party was also named.

On another front, some respondents selected other People’s Party politicians. These included Parit Wacharasindhu and Rakchanok Srinok. Police Colonel Tawee Sodsong of the Prachachart Party also received mentions. Former Prime Minister Chuan Leekpai was another choice.

Bhumjaithai figures join wider field as voters reject prime ministerial choices more than parties

Several figures associated with Bhumjaithai also appeared among the other choices. They included Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkaew. Commerce Minister Suphajee Suthumpun was also named, alongside Jetsada Thaiseth.

Additionally, Bangkok Governor Chadchart Sittipunt and General Prawit Wongsuwan appeared among the other responses. None, however, secured enough support to enter NIDA’s principal ranking.

The party figures were similarly fragmented below the four leading parties. Some 7.64% said they had not found a suitable political party. That figure is far below the 19.80% unable to identify a suitable prime minister.

Importantly, the difference separates attitudes towards politicians from attitudes towards parties. Many respondents rejecting the available leadership choices still identify with a political party. Rejection of the prime ministerial field is therefore substantially higher.

Thai Bhakdi received 4.68%. Ruam Thai Sang Chart followed with 2.16%. Thai Sang Thai and Rak Muang Thai each received 1.80%. The Seri Ruam Thai Party received 1.72%, while the Economic Party stood at 1.52%.

Beyond those parties, another 2.76% selected other political groups. These included Kla Tham, Palang Pracharath and the Opportunity Party. Prachachart, Thai Ruam Palang, New Alternative and Phonlawat were also mentioned.

Anutin loses over half his support as Nattapong also slides and voters increasingly choose neither leader

Only 0.20% declined to answer or expressed no interest. Thus, the survey does not show widespread rejection of political parties themselves. Its sharpest rejection appears among the available prime ministerial choices.

Taken together, the figures show markedly different movements between personalities and parties. The People’s Party remains dominant despite Mr Nattapong’s personal decline. Pheu Thai has recovered while Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan remains stronger than in the first quarter.

Bhumjaithai, conversely, has moved sharply backwards alongside Prime Minister Anutin. The Prime Minister has suffered the largest personal fall among the leading candidates. His decline has transformed what was previously an extremely close contest with Mr Nattapong.

During the first quarter, Mr Nattapong stood at 30.60%. Prime Minister Anutin stood close behind at 29.40%. Only 1.20 percentage points separated them.

Nine months later, neither reached 25%. Mr Nattapong stands at 24.72%. Prime Minister Anutin has fallen below 14%. At the same time, 19.80% say no candidate is currently suitable.

For Prime Minister Anutin, the decline is particularly stark. He has lost more than half his first-quarter support. His rating has fallen from 29.40% to 13.76%. That represents a 15.64-point fall.

Those voters, however, have not moved en masse towards Mr Nattapong. The People’s Party leader has simultaneously lost 5.88 points. Nor have they transferred overwhelmingly towards Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan.

No suitable candidate surges above Anutin as economic pressure forms backdrop to shifting voter choices

Instead, the “no suitable candidate” category has gained 11.60 percentage points. It rose from 8.20% to 19.80%. In proportional terms, that represents growth exceeding 140%.

More recently, the shift has accelerated. The figure stood at only 10.24% three months ago. It has now almost doubled to 19.80%.

During the same quarter, Mr Nattapong slipped from 26.08% to 24.72%. Prime Minister Anutin plunged from 21.68% to 13.76%. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan edged down from 11.64% to 11.28%.

Strikingly, none of those three leading named candidates gained during the latest quarter. The group rejecting every available choice surged by 9.56 percentage points.

That is among the hardest numbers in Sunday’s survey. It also changes the shape of the prime ministerial field. A category that ranked well behind the leading politicians earlier this year now stands second.

The economic backdrop remains difficult. Thailand continues to face weak domestic demand and heavy household indebtedness. Household debt continues restricting spending and domestic economic activity.

At grassroots level, economic pressure remains an important part of the wider national environment. The NIDA Poll, however, did not ask respondents why their political preferences changed.

Election would test People’s Party national lead against constituency networks across provincial Thailand

Accordingly, the survey does not establish that economic conditions caused the movement. Nor does it establish why 19.80% cannot identify a suitable prime minister. It instead records political preferences during September.

The numbers nevertheless arrive while the government continues efforts to strengthen economic activity. They also come amid the potential for renewed political instability and another return to the polls.

Should that happen, national polling would meet the realities of constituency politics. The People’s Party would enter such a contest with the strongest national preference.

Its 35.40% rating provides a commanding advantage over Pheu Thai and Bhumjaithai. Yet national support must ultimately translate into individual constituency victories.

Outside Bangkok and the wider metropolis, that means competing throughout provincial Thailand. The battlefield stretches across the North, Northeast, Central region, West and South.

There, constituency candidates and local organisations become critical. Established provincial networks can also carry significant electoral weight. The NIDA survey does not measure those capabilities.

Pheu Thai strengthens into second as Bhumjaithai retreats and smaller rivals remain heavily fragmented

Even so, it establishes the scale of the People’s Party’s national advantage. At 35.40%, it stands 16.96 percentage points ahead of Pheu Thai. It leads Bhumjaithai by 23.32 points.

Pheu Thai would enter any such contest from a markedly improved polling position. Its support has risen from 12.04% to 18.44% during 2026. It has also overtaken Bhumjaithai to reclaim second place.

At the leadership level, Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan remains substantially stronger than during the first quarter. His 11.28% rating, however, remains below Pheu Thai’s party support.

Bhumjaithai faces the opposite direction of travel. Its party rating has fallen to 12.08%. Prime Minister Anutin’s personal support has collapsed to 13.76%.

As a consequence, the governing party now trails Pheu Thai by more than six points. Its leader also trails the “no suitable candidate” group by more than six points.

The Democrat Party remains a mid-sized force in the survey. It commands 9.80% party support. Mr Abhisit’s personal rating is almost identical at 9.60%.

Below that level, the political field becomes heavily fragmented. No other party reaches 5%. Likewise, no other named prime ministerial candidate reaches 6%.

People’s Party stays dominant but Nattapong slides as Pheu Thai recovers and Anutin suffers sharp reversal

Sunday’s survey therefore produces three markedly different pictures among Thailand’s largest political forces. The People’s Party retains overwhelming polling strength compared with its rivals. However, Mr Nattapong’s personal support continues moving downwards.

Pheu Thai has recovered significant ground. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan also remains well above his first-quarter position. Bhumjaithai, by comparison, has suffered a major reversal.

Prime Minister Anutin has suffered an even more dramatic personal fall. Yet support lost by Thailand’s leading politicians has not consolidated behind another leader.

Instead, the largest growth has occurred among voters who cannot find anyone suitable. At the beginning of 2026, barely one respondent in twelve gave that answer. Now almost one in five does.

Furthermore, that group is larger than the support commanded by Thailand’s sitting Prime Minister. It also substantially exceeds support for Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan.

Only People’s Party leader Nattapong Ruangpanyawut remains ahead. Even his lead over the “no suitable candidate” group has narrowed below five percentage points.

NIDA poll leaves People’s Party far ahead while nearly one in five voters find no suitable prime minister

The latest NIDA Poll consequently leaves Thailand with a clear party leader but no comparable dominant prime ministerial candidate.

The People’s Party remains first at 35.40%. Pheu Thai follows on 18.44%, while Bhumjaithai has fallen to 12.08%. The Democrat Party stands at 9.80%.

The leadership field is considerably tighter. Mr Nattapong leads with 24.72%. Yet 19.80% choose nobody.

Prime Minister Anutin follows with 13.76%. Deputy Prime Minister Yotsanan stands close behind at 11.28%. Mr Abhisit follows with 9.60%, while everyone else remains below 6%. Ultimately, the strongest political party retains a commanding national polling lead. However, its leader has lost almost six points since the beginning of 2026.

Pheu Thai, meanwhile, is rebuilding support while Bhumjaithai is losing it. Prime Minister Anutin has suffered the steepest personal decline among the leading figures.

Above all, the numbers record a sharp increase among voters unwilling to choose any current candidate for prime minister.

That group has climbed from 8.20% to 19.80% in nine months. Meanwhile, Thailand’s two leading candidates at the start of 2026 have lost 21.52 percentage points between them.

No rival politician has captured most of that support. Instead, almost one-fifth of respondents now look across the prime ministerial field and select nobody.

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Joseph Anthony is an expat from Ireland who has lived in Thailand for the last decade. He has worked extensively in the media including editorial positions in Ireland and Thailand. He is focused on economic and business stories in Thailand as well as the expat lifestyle.

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2026年9月27日晚上10:04

在生活、媒体、政治、泰国

泰国政局周日出现戏剧性转折，总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔的支持率在最新NIDA民调中暴跌至13.76%。人民党领袖纳塔蓬·伦帕尼亚武特仍以24.72%的支持率领先，其所在政党的支持率也高达35.40%，遥遥领先于其他竞争对手。然而，纳塔蓬的支持率也在下滑。与此同时，为泰党支持率强势反弹，副总理约萨南·翁沙瓦特正迅速逼近阿努廷。对所有主要候选人而言，最不祥的是，目前有19.80%的受访者认为所有候选人都不适合担任总理。随着经济压力加剧和政治不确定性增加，这一数字今年已翻了一番多，也预示着又一次选举决战的可能性。

总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔的支持率暴跌至13.76%，人民党领袖纳塔蓬·鲁昂帕尼亚武特领先，副总理约萨南·翁沙瓦特的支持率紧随其后，19.80%的受访者表示他们拒绝所有总理候选人。（来源：暹罗快讯）

泰国国家民主研究所（NIDA）最新民调向总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔及其主要政治力量发出严厉警告。民调显示，总理在2026年大选中的支持率大幅下降，其领导的泰自豪党也遭遇了类似的挫折。

然而，人民党领袖纳塔蓬·鲁昂帕尼亚武特自身也面临困境。他仍然是泰国总理的热门人选，但他的个人支持率已连续两个季度下滑。与此同时，为泰党的支持率大幅回升。副总理尤萨南·翁沙瓦也已成为一位强有力的竞争者。

更引人注目的是，最大的变化趋势是反对任何一位候选人。现在，近五分之一的泰国人表示没有合适的总理人选。自2026年初以来，这一群体的人数增加了一倍多。值得注意的是，在泰国国家发展研究所（NIDA）的调查中，这一群体的人数排名第二，超过了现任总理阿努廷以及除纳塔蓬先生之外的所有被提及的政治人物。

NIDA民调显示，纳塔蓬位居榜首，阿努廷支持率下滑，近五分之一的选民拒绝所有候选人。

上述结果来自国家发展管理研究所（NIDA）周日发布的第三季度政治支持率调查。该研究所于9月18日至23日期间，在全国范围内对2500名受访者进行了问卷调查。受访者年龄均在18岁及以上，且涵盖不同地区、教育水平、职业和收入群体。

美国国家药物滥用研究所（NIDA）使用了其主样本数据库中的概率抽样方法。研究人员还采用了多阶段抽样，并进行了电话访谈。总体而言，该调查的置信水平为97%。

人民党领袖纳塔蓬·鲁昂帕尼亚武特仍以24.72%的支持率领跑总理候选人名单。然而，这一数字掩盖了他2026年支持率的持续下滑。纳塔蓬先生年初第一季度的支持率为30.60%，随后在第二季度跌至26.08%，如今已再次跌至24.72%。

因此，纳塔蓬先生的支持率自第一季度以来下降了5.88个百分点。尽管如此，他仍然遥遥领先于其他所有候选人。与他相比，他所在政党的支持率差距更为显著。人民党的支持率为35.40%，比他的领导人高出10多个百分点。

阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔总理的支持率下滑幅度更大。2026年初，他的支持率仅为29.40%。当时，他与纳塔蓬先生的支持率仅相差1.2个百分点。两人加起来的支持率正好是60%。

由于近五分之一的选民认为没有合适的总理人选，阿努廷的支持率暴跌至第三。

此后，政治格局发生了剧烈变化。阿努廷总理的支持率在第二季度跌至21.68%，目前已进一步下滑至13.76%。这意味着，自第一季度以来，他的支持率已下降了15.64个百分点。他与纳塔蓬先生的支持率差距也从1.20个百分点扩大至10.96个百分点。

阿努廷总理的支持率也从第二跌至第三。关键在于，并非有其他政治人物超越了他，而是选民们由于找不到合适的总理人选而选择了其他候选人。

约有19.80%的受访者表示尚未找到合适的人。这是该调查中最显著的变化之一。第一季度，只有8.20%的受访者给出了这样的答案。三个月后，这一数字上升至10.24%。而现在，它已飙升至19.80%。

因此，自2026年初以来，没有合适候选人的群体人数增加了一倍多，仅在最近一个季度就几乎翻了一番。此外，该群体目前对总理阿努京的支持率高出6.04个百分点，对副总理约察南的支持率高出8.52个百分点。

只有纳塔蓬先生的得票率仍然领先于其他候选人。即便如此，差距也只有4.92个百分点。而今年早些时候，这一差距高达22.40个百分点。因此，差距的缩小幅度相当显著。

另一项对比揭示了这场运动的规模。纳塔蓬先生和阿努廷总理在第一季度的支持率高达60%。如今，他们的总支持率仅为38.48%。短短九个月内，他们的总支持率下降了21.52个百分点。

为泰队重整旗鼓，Yotsanan 缩小了与 Anutin 的差距，而 Bhumjaithai 则跌至第三名。

然而，没有一位竞争对手的损失能与此相提并论。纳塔蓬先生并未从阿努廷总理的垮台中获益。相反，他的支持率也随之下降。其他被提名的候选人则远远落后。

为泰党的政策走向有所不同。副总理耀珊·翁沙瓦在总理候选人支持率中排名第四，支持率为11.28%。他最新的支持率略低于第二季度的11.64%。即便如此，他年初的支持率仍然低得多。

副总理约察南在第一季度的支持率为8.08%。因此，他的支持率仍比2026年初的水平高出3.20个百分点。目前，他仅落后总理阿努廷2.48个百分点。在最新的民调中，这一差距表明两位政治人物的支持率相对接近。

为泰党自身也取得了更为显著的进步。该党目前以18.44%的支持率位居全国第二，而2026年初时仅为12.04%。此外，为泰党的支持率自第一季度以来已上升了6.40个百分点。

相比之下，泰自豪党则大幅下滑。该党目前仅以12.08%的支持率位列第三。今年早些时候，它还对为泰党拥有显著优势。如今，​​形势已逆转。为泰党目前领先泰自豪党6.36个百分点。

尽管纳塔蓬的个人支持率持续下降，但人民党仍然保持着全国范围内的绝对领先地位。

与此同时，各党领袖的个人支持率也呈现出截然不同的走势。总理阿努廷的支持率在2026年大幅下滑，而副总理尤特萨南的支持率则保持在2026年第一季度的水平之上。因此，为泰党在NIDA评估的各党派中重回第二位。

尽管如此，人民党仍然遥遥领先于其他两党。人民党的支持率为35.40%，而为泰党的支持率为18.44%。人民党的支持率在2026年也保持了显著的稳定性。在过去的三个季度民调中，该党的支持率一直维持在34%至35%左右。

这种稳定性造就了周日最鲜明的政治对比之一。纳塔蓬先生的个人支持率已从30.60%降至24.72%。然而，人民党仍然拥有超过三分之一的选民支持。事实上，其支持率较上一季度的34.80%略有上升。

因此，纳塔蓬先生个人支持率的下降并未导致其所在政党支持率出现相应下滑。目前，他的支持率与所在政党的支持率相差10.68个百分点。尽管纳塔蓬先生的个人支持率有所下降，但人民党在全国范围内仍然占据主导地位。

对人民党而言，全国民调仅代表其选举实力的一个方面。NIDA的调查衡量的是全国范围内的政治倾向，但它并不衡量地方竞选组织、选区机器或省级政治网络。

人民党面临的考验是如何将全国民调优势转化为各省选区的选票。

此外，在曼谷及其周边大都会区以外的选举中，这些因素也变得至关重要。各政党必须在北部、东北部、中部、西部和南部地区展开竞争。全国范围内的受欢迎程度必须转化为各个选区的选票。

近期的地方选举引发了人们对这种转变的质疑。然而，NIDA最新的调查无法解答这些问题。其35.40%的数据反映的是全国范围内的政党支持率，而非选区层面的组织实力。

区分这一点至关重要，因为国家级和地方级政治选举的运作方式截然不同。省级候选人可以依靠长期存在的政治组织和选民网络，全国性政党认同感依然重要。然而，选区选举也需要高效的本地候选人和组织。

在此背景下，纳塔蓬先生在国家民主研究所（NIDA）的调查结果中面临着明显的数字问题。他的政党依然实力强劲，而他个人的支持率却持续下降。因此，人民党与其领导人之间的差距也随之扩大。

泰自豪党面临着不同的问题。总理阿努廷及其政党的支持率都在下降。总理的支持率为13.76%，而泰自豪党的支持率为12.08%。总理与政党的支持率差距仅为1.68个百分点。

为泰党呈现出另一种模式。副总理耀珊作为总理候选人的支持率为11.28%。然而，为泰党作为一个政党的支持率却高达18.44%。因此，该党的支持率比耀珊的个人支持率高出7.16个百分点。

阿披实的支持率紧随民主党之后，而小党派和总理候选人的支持率则远远落后。

民主党与前总理阿披实·维乍集瓦的得票率更为接近。阿披实作为总理候选人获得了9.60%的支持率，而民主党的支持率为9.80%。因此，阿披实与民主党的支持率差距仅为0.20个百分点。

在领先候选人之外，支持率则明显分散。泰普迪党的瓦隆·德吉维格罗姆博士获得5.68%的支持率，泰桑泰党的坤英·苏达拉·凯尤拉潘紧随其后，获得2.64%的支持率。

此外，泰爱党的警察中将雷瓦·克林格颂获得2.36%的选票，泰爱党的警察上将塞里皮苏·特米亚维斯获得2.24%的选票，前总理巴育·占奥差获得1.52%的选票。

再往下，经济党的 Rangsi Kitiyansap 将军获得了 1.48% 的支持。 Ruam Thai Sang Chart 的 Peerapan Salirathavipak 获得了 1.40% 的收益。为泰政治家 Chulaphan Amornvivat 的支持率为 1.08%。

另有2.44%的人选择了其他政治人物，其中包括人民力量党的Treenuch Thianthong和克拉塔姆党的Thamanat Promphao上尉。奥卡斯迈党的Jatuporn Buruspat也被提及。

另一方面，一些候选人选择了其他人民党政治人物，其中包括帕里特·瓦查拉辛杜和拉查诺克·斯里诺克。普拉查查特党的警察上校塔维·索松也被提及。前总理川·立派也是一个选择。

泰自豪党候选人加入更广泛的政治角逐，选民对总理人选的拒绝程度超过了对政党的拒绝程度，泰自豪党候选人也因此成为新的政治人物。

与泰自豪党有关联的几位人物也出现在其他候选人名单中，其中包括副总理兼外交部长西哈萨·普昂凯凯。商务部长苏帕吉·苏图蓬和杰萨达·泰塞特也榜上有名。

此外，曼谷市长查查特·西提蓬和巴威·翁素万将军也出现在其他回复中。然而，他们都没有获得足够的票数进入NIDA的主要排名。

在四大主要政党之外，其他政党的支持者也同样分散。约有7.64%的人表示他们没有找到合适的政党。这一比例远低于19.80%的人表示他们找不到合适的首相。

重要的是，这种差异区分了人们对政治人物的态度和对政党的态度。许多拒绝现有领导人选的受访者仍然认同某个政党。因此，对总理候选人的拒绝率要高得多。

泰巴克迪党获得4.68%的选票。泰桑查党紧随其后，获得2.16%的选票。泰桑泰党和拉蒙泰党各获得1.80%的选票。斯里鲁安泰党获得1.72%的选票，而经济党获得1.52%的选票。

除了上述政党之外，另有2.76%的人选择了其他政治团体，包括Kla Tham、Palang Pracharath和机会党。Prachachart、Thai Ruam Palang、新替代党和Phonlawat也被提及。

阿努廷的支持率下降超过一半，纳塔蓬的支持率也下滑，越来越多的选民选择不选任何一位领导人。

仅有0.20%的人拒绝回答或表示不感兴趣。因此，调查结果并未显示民众普遍反对政党本身。民众最强烈的反对意见体现在对总理人选的关注上。

综合来看，这些数据表明不同人物和政党之间的政治走势存在显著差异。尽管纳塔蓬先生个人支持率有所下滑，但人民党仍然占据主导地位。为泰党的支持率有所回升，而副总理尤特萨南的支持率也比第一季度有所上升。

相反，泰自豪党与阿努廷总理的支持率均大幅下滑。阿努廷总理是主要候选人中个人支持率跌幅最大的。他的衰落改变了此前与纳塔蓬先生势均力敌的选情。

第一季度，纳塔蓬先生的支持率为30.60%，阿努廷总理紧随其后，支持率为29.40%，两人仅相差1.20个百分点。

九个月后，两人的支持率均未达到25%。纳塔蓬先生的支持率为24.72%，而阿努廷总理的支持率已跌破14%。与此同时，19.80%的受访者认为目前没有合适的候选人。

对总理阿努廷而言，支持率下滑尤为显著。他的支持率已跌至第一季度的一半以上，从29.40%降至13.76%，跌幅高达15.64个百分点。

然而，这些选民并没有集体倒向纳塔蓬先生。与此同时，这位人民党领袖的支持率下降了5.88个百分点。他们也没有压倒性地转而支持副总理约特萨南。

在经济压力推动选民选择转变的背景下，没有合适的候选人能够超越阿努廷。

相反，“没有合适的候选人”这一类别的比例上升了11.60个百分点，从8.20%升至19.80%。按比例计算，这意味着增长超过140%。

最近，这种转变速度加快。三个月前，这一数字仅为10.24%，而现在几乎翻了一番，达到19.80%。

同期，纳塔蓬先生的支持率从26.08%下滑至24.72%。总理阿努廷的支持率从21.68%暴跌至13.76%。副总理约特萨南的支持率也从11.64%小幅下降至11.28%。

值得注意的是，这三位领先的候选人在最近一个季度中支持率均未上升。而拒绝所有其他候选人的群体支持率则飙升了9.56个百分点。

这是周日民调中最难预测的数据之一。它也改变了首相候选人的格局。今年早些时候排名远落后于主要政治人物的群体，如今跃居第二。

经济形势依然严峻。泰国持续面临内需疲软和家庭债务沉重的双重困境。家庭债务持续制约消费和国内经济活动。

在基层层面，经济压力仍然是更广泛的国家环境的重要组成部分。然而，NIDA民调并未询问选民其政治倾向发生变化的原因。

此次选举将检验人民党在泰国全国范围内的领导地位，以及其在泰国各省的选民网络实力。

因此，该调查并未证实经济状况导致了这一变化，也未解释为何有19.80%的受访者无法选出合适的首相人选。该调查仅记录了受访者在9月份的政治倾​​向。

尽管如此，这些数据还是在政府继续努力提振经济活动的同时公布的。此外，这些数据也发布于可能再次出现政治动荡和举行大选的背景下。

如果这种情况发生，全国民调将反映出选区政治的现实。人民党将以最高的全国支持率参与这场角逐。

其35.40%的支持率使其在与为泰党和泰自豪党的较量中占据绝对优势。然而，全国范围内的支持最终必须转化为各个选区的胜利。

在曼谷及其周边地区以外，这意味着要在泰国各府展开竞争。战场横跨北部、东北部、中部、西部和南部。

在这些地区，选区候选人和地方组织至关重要。已建立的省级网络也能在选举中发挥重要作用。NIDA的调查并未衡量这些能力。

随着Bhumjaithai退步，而规模较小的竞争对手仍然四分五裂，Pheu Thai巩固了其第二的位置。

即便如此，这也凸显了人民党在全国范围内的优势。人民党的支持率为35.40%，领先为泰党16.96个百分点，领先泰自豪党23.32个百分点。

如果参加此类竞选，为泰党的支持率将显著提升。其支持率已从2026年的12.04%上升至18.44%。此外，该党也已超越泰自豪党，重回第二位。

在领导层层面，副总理尤特萨南的支持率仍比第一季度大幅提升。然而，他的支持率仅为11.28%，低于为泰党的支持率。

泰自豪党则走向了相反的方向。该党支持率已跌至12.08%。总理阿努廷的个人支持率也暴跌至13.76%。

因此，执政党目前落后为泰党超过6个百分点。其领导人也落后于“无合适候选人”阵营超过6个百分点。

民主党在民调中仍保持中等规模，支持率为9.80%。阿披实先生的个人支持率也几乎相同，为9.60%。

低于这个水平，政治格局变得高度分散。没有其他政党的支持率达到5%。同样，也没有其他总理候选人的支持率达到6%。

人民党继续保持优势，但纳塔蓬支持率下滑，为泰党支持率回升，阿努廷支持率大幅下滑。

因此，周日的民调显示，泰国三大政治力量呈现出截然不同的三种局面。人民党的支持率仍然远超其他竞争对手。然而，纳塔蓬先生的个人支持率却持续下滑。

为泰党已大幅收复失地。副总理耀珊的支持率也远高于第一季度的水平。相比之下，泰自豪党则遭遇了重大挫折。

阿努廷总理的个人声望进一步下滑。然而，泰国主要政治人物失去的支持并未转化为对其他领导人的支持。

相反，增长最快的群体是那些找不到合适候选人的选民。2026年初，只有不到十二分之一的受访者给出了这样的答案。而现在，这一比例接近五分之一。

此外，该群体的支持者人数超过了泰国现任总理的支持率，也远超副总理尤萨南的支持率。

目前只有人民党领袖纳塔蓬·鲁昂帕尼亚武特领先。即便他领先“无合适候选人”阵营的幅度也已缩小至五个百分点以下。

NIDA民调显示人民党遥遥领先，但近五分之一的选民认为没有合适的总理人选。

最新的NIDA民调显示，泰国虽然有明确的政党领袖，但没有实力相当的总理候选人。

人民党以35.40%的支持率继续保持第一。为泰党紧随其后，支持率为18.44%，而泰自豪党则跌至12.08%。民主党的支持率为9.80%。

领导层竞争异常激烈。纳塔蓬先生以24.72%的支持率领先。但仍有19.80%的选民选择不选任何人。

阿努廷总理以13.76%的支持率位居第二。副总理约特萨南紧随其后，支持率为11.28%。阿披实总理的支持率为9.60%，其他候选人的支持率均低于6%。最终，支持率最高的政党在全国民调中保持着绝对优势。然而，自2026年初以来，该党领导人的支持率已下降近6个百分点。

与此同时，为泰党正在重建支持率，而泰自豪党的支持率却在下降。在所有领导人物中，总理阿努廷的个人支持率下滑最为严重。

最重要的是，数据显示，不愿选择任何现任总理候选人的选民人数急剧增加。

该群体支持率在九个月内从8.20%攀升至19.80%。与此同时，泰国2026年初的两大领先候选人支持率合计下降了21.52个百分点。

没有哪位竞争对手能够赢得如此多的支持。相反，近五分之一的候选人现在对所有总理候选人都持观望态度，没有选择任何人。

NIDA民意调查显示，邓小平在总理人选和人民党候选人中遥遥领先于泰自豪党。

人民党人士敦促谨慎行事，此前检方决定不起诉前候选人

曼谷人民党候选人周一因涉嫌与洗钱网络有关联被捕

民调显示，为泰人民党仍有可能组建联合政府，但这需要一些运气。

楚维特形容人民党的领导层“幼稚”，并表示该党已被选民宠坏了。

泰自豪党议员投票维持参议院对改革的否决权，宪政危机再度爆发。

阿努廷总理精心制定的政治计划因合艾峰会的灾难性后果而破灭，失败案例层出不穷。

周日，救援人员在合艾发现一名最后一次被人看到时已饥饿不堪的男子，该男子已死亡，这是这场灾难造成的又一起死亡事件。

合艾退潮时，尸体重见天日，这场南部城市的灾难引发了公众的愤怒。

南部洪灾已造成33人死亡，死亡人数仍在上升，政府迟缓的应对措施岌岌可危。

一些观察人士称，不断上涨的“死亡之水”将使宋卡和合艾面临300年来最严重的洪灾。

约瑟夫·安东尼是一位来自爱尔兰的侨民，过去十年一直居住在泰国。他曾在爱尔兰和泰国的媒体行业担任过编辑职务，拥有丰富的媒体从业经验。他主要关注泰国的经济和商业新闻，以及侨民的生活方式。

约瑟夫·奥康纳的所有帖子

2026年9月24日，塔玛纳·普罗姆波领导的克拉塔姆党准备组建政府，总理阿努廷严阵以待。塔玛纳·普罗姆波领导的拥有58名议员的克拉塔姆党正朝着这一目标迈进。

2026年9月24日，一名加拿大男子在清迈被捕，他涉嫌强奸一名英国游客，当时距离他离开泰国仅几个小时。警方突袭了38岁的加拿大男子阿尔多·奥乔亚·萨恩斯（Aldo Ochoa Saenz）的住所。

泰国石油基金每周亏损近50亿泰铢，政府疲于应对中东危机 2026年9月23日 泰国石油基金每日亏损7亿泰铢

泰国内政部对以色列在泰国的哈巴德运动网络展开调查，此前有报道称该网络在泰国南部购买土地（2026年9月23日）。泰国内政部扩大了对与以色列有关联的土地的调查范围。

2026年9月22日，马来西亚国王玛哈·哇集拉隆功的第三子查克里瓦特博士健康状况恶化，引发各方关注。

地方政府考试丑闻逼近关键时刻。Rangsiman Rome呼吁首相给出解释（2026年9月22日）。Anutin因45亿泰铢的地方考试丑闻面临越来越大的压力。

泰国空姐米娜因涉嫌贩毒在墨尔本被捕，隧道尽头出现曙光 2026年9月22日 米娜·近藤的澳大利亚毒品案出现希望

阿努廷前往纽约，但美泰贸易协议仍未传出任何消息，国内问题持续发酵。2026年9月21日，华盛顿为泰国的贸易协议附加了新的条件。

越南正大量吸引泰国的优质游客，而曼谷却在打击非法游客方面举步维艰 2026年9月21日 越南旅游业的蓬勃发展正在缩小与泰国的差距

2026年9月21日星期六上午，芭堤雅一处公寓发生骚乱和枪击事件，一名在职警官因此接受调查。枪声响彻芭堤雅南部一处公寓。

2026年9月20日，曼谷地铁蓝线周日发生火灾，损失比预想的更为严重，工程师们连夜抢修。为挽救曼谷地铁周一的通勤，各方争分夺秒。

泰国皇家海军宣布与韩国达成一项雄心勃勃的协议，将在泰国本土部分建造下一代护卫舰（2026年9月20日）。泰国向韩国寻求价值167.3亿泰铢的援助。

2026年9月20日，因榴莲纠纷引发致命冲突，Thanyathorn Songserm 在家中杀害婆婆，并试图处决分居伴侣和其他人。

那拉提瓦府叛乱分子遭炸弹和枪击伏击身亡，两名国防志愿兵丧生。曼谷寻求和平谈判。2026年9月19日，炸弹和枪击伏击导致两名国防志愿兵丧生。

阿努廷敦促官员驱逐不受欢迎的外国人。关于墓地问题，总理敦促他们在家中去世。2026年9月18日，阿努廷指示各省省长使用新的驱逐权。

泰国明星Lisa凭借歌曲《SaWaDiKa》在美国大获成功，该曲迅速跻身Billboard Hot 100榜单，并于2026年9月17日亮相吉米·法伦秀。Lisa凭借《SaWaDiKa》在美国再创佳绩。

阿努廷第一届政府的前部长沃拉帕克·塔尼亚翁因涉嫌诈骗行业被列入国会制裁名单（2026年9月17日）。沃拉帕克·塔尼亚翁面临美国制裁调查。

前司法部长称赞一项重大破产法案，该法案有望减轻家庭债务负担 2026年9月24日

妮妮·罗亚尔凭借精彩绝伦的《七国军队》压轴表演为泰国赢得大奖，斩获100万美元奖金（2026年9月24日）。

芭堤雅突袭行动后，几名中国男子因涉嫌强奸和敲诈勒索被捕。一名女子于2026年9月23日被关押并戴上镣铐。

数字部长（36岁）兼强大的奇德乔布王朝继承人拥有数亿美元的财富 2026年9月23日

泰国内阁周二通过最新大麻法案，旨在遏制该国失控的大麻产业（2026年9月23日）

法律界重量级人物计划举办研讨会，审查选举委员会让高层政客免于追究责任的举措（2026年9月22日）

文化部长在新闻发布会上驳斥柬埔寨环球小姐选美大赛使用120年前泰国女性照片的做法 2026年9月22日

2026年9月22日，一名35岁泰国女子在台湾遇害，其家人要求归还骨灰并索要经济赔偿。

2026年9月21日，伦敦警察厅根据线报捣毁了以泰国女子“冰雪女王弗蕾雅”为名的性交易团伙。

蜘蛛侠“和平”抗议及逮捕事件：苏梅岛动物园争议最新进展（2026年9月21日）

2026年9月20日星期日，南部省份亚拉发生骚乱，一名助理村长在当晚的袭击中丧生。

普吉岛毒品检查站丑闻。为打击毒品犯罪而设立的国防军小组被指控敲诈勒索。2026年9月20日

他信时代部长回顾泰国2006年政变，呼吁建立以人民为中心的民主制度。2026年9月20日

2026年9月19日，45岁的澳大利亚男子西蒙·彼得·卡曼在芭堤雅被控谋杀，但他拒不不认罪，保释申请被拒绝。

随着债务上限临近，公共债务较新冠疫情前水平大幅飙升，政府是时候勒紧裤腰带了。（2026年9月18日）

泰国准备对境外生产的电动汽车征收30%的税，以促进其汽车产业发展（2026年9月18日）

2026年9月17日，芭堤雅一名好心人因帮女友找回丢失的摩托车钥匙，被一名行为怪异的外国人殴打。

2026年9月17日，一名买家在清迈购买了一处法拍房产，周二震惊地发现前房主遗骸。

2026年9月17日，一位母亲敦促警方寻找涉嫌造成其儿子死亡的交通事故的中国公民。

他信寻求法院颁布禁令，阻止税务部门在2025年8月追缴170亿比索的税款判决。2026年9月16日

2026年9月16日，一名英国男子周二遭两名醉酒摩托车手袭击并被割伤，当时两人试图抢走他的智能手机。

选举委员会成员阻挠总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔平息参议院丑闻的努力 2026年9月16日

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