Petrol and diesel rise as inflation for August comes in at 2.53%. However confidence is also seen rising

September 9, 2026 at 11:14 am

in Economy , Living , Thailand

Thailand was hit by a fresh fuel-price shock on Wednesday as the Middle East crisis drove global energy costs higher, pushing diesel up ฿0.70 per litre and gasoline and gasohol up ฿0.80. The increase came as headline inflation accelerated to 2.53% in August, with prices rising across 310 of 464 monitored items. At the same time, the Oil Fuel Fund deficit deepened to ฿83.291 billion, worsening by ฿2.819 billion in one week while subsidies cost about ฿500 million daily. Yet the economic picture is sharply divided. Consumer confidence has staged its first broad recovery in six months, helped by more than ฿140 billion circulated through Thai Helps Thai Plus, firmer farm prices and stronger spending expectations. However, the programme expires in September, just as fuel, food and transport costs intensify and the Chamber of Commerce identifies September and October as pivotal for the economy.

Thailand hikes fuel prices as inflation hits 2.53% and the Fuel Fund deficit reaches ฿83.291bn. Thai Chamber boss Thanavath Phonvichai reports confidence rising. ( Source: Siam Rath )

Thailand raised fuel prices on Wednesday as the Middle East crisis pushed global energy costs sharply higher. Diesel increased by ฿0.70 per litre. Gasoline and gasohol rose by ฿0.80 per litre. The increases took effect nationwide on September 9. They came as inflation accelerated and the Oil Fuel Fund sank deeper into deficit.

The Fuel Fund Management Committee approved the increases at its meeting on Tuesday. The fund now carries a deficit of ฿83.291 billion. Notably, that shortfall widened by ฿2.819 billion in just one week. Its subsidy burden is also running at approximately ฿500 million every day.

In parallel, Thailand is facing stronger price pressures across energy, food and transport. Headline inflation reached 2.53% in August. That marked the fifth consecutive monthly increase. Moreover, prices rose across 310 of 464 items monitored by the Ministry of Commerce.

US-Iran crisis drives oil higher as Thailand’s Fuel Fund deficit deepens under massive daily subsidies

Much of the immediate pressure is coming from international energy markets. The confrontation between the United States and Iran has sent oil prices higher. Meanwhile, concerns surrounding shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have intensified. Prospects for negotiations to ease tensions and reopen shipping lanes remain bleak.

Global crude prices have moved towards $95 per barrel. Refined products have risen even more sharply. Singapore diesel surged beyond $172 per barrel on September 8. Gasoline climbed to approximately $137 per barrel. Consequently, Thailand faces sharply higher costs for imported fuel.

The international crisis has also remained highly volatile. The United States continues its blockade of Iran amid continuing military operations. Separately, Yemen’s Houthi militia launched a drone raid against southern Saudi Arabian facilities on Tuesday. The attack added another threat to energy supplies across the region.

Against that backdrop, Thailand’s Fuel Fund has continued absorbing part of the international price surge. However, its financial position has deteriorated rapidly. The accumulated deficit now exceeds ฿83 billion. At roughly ฿500 million daily, subsidies are placing further pressure on the fund.

In response, Tuesday’s committee meeting adjusted subsidies and levies across several fuel products. Regular diesel received another ฿0.03 subsidy per litre. Total support therefore increased to ฿5.80 per litre. Even with that subsidy, regular diesel now retails at ฿39.84 per litre.

Fuel subsidies shift across diesel and gasohol as Thailand passes more global oil costs to motorists

B20 diesel received a different adjustment. Its subsidy was reduced by ฿0.06 per litre to ฿10.06. The resulting retail price stands at ฿34.84 per litre. Premium diesel, by comparison, carries a levy of ฿1.50 per litre.

The committee also changed its intervention across gasoline and gasohol products. The gasoline levy fell by ฿0.27 to ฿4.55 per litre. Nevertheless, ordinary gasoline climbed to ฿48.08 per litre. It is now significantly above the retail prices of the major gasohol products.

Gasohol 95 received another ฿0.18 subsidy, bringing total support to ฿2.37 per litre. Its retail price reached ฿39.09. Likewise, Gasohol 91 received another ฿0.18 subsidy. It now retails at ฿38.72 per litre.

Gasohol E20 support increased by ฿0.08 to ฿5.77 per litre. Accordingly, its retail price reached ฿34.09. Gasohol E85 moved in the opposite direction. Its subsidy fell by ฿0.50 to ฿2.60, leaving its retail price at ฿30.03.

These adjustments show the scale of intervention still operating within Thailand’s retail fuel market. Yet international prices continue moving higher. The fund must therefore balance domestic retail prices against its rapidly deteriorating finances. Wednesday’s increases shifted another portion of those international costs towards motorists.

Inflation broadens across Thailand as food, fresh produce and energy costs all rise sharply through August

The timing is particularly significant because inflation has already accelerated across Thailand. Earlier this week, the Commerce Ministry reported an August Consumer Price Index of 102.67. That produced annual headline inflation of 2.53%. It was the fifth consecutive month of rising inflation.

More importantly, the increases were broad. Of the 464 goods and services monitored, 310 increased in price. Only 123 became cheaper. Another 31 remained unchanged. Thus, the latest inflation increase extended well beyond fuel and energy.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages were among the strongest contributors. Prices in that category rose by 2.99%. Other categories, excluding food and beverages, increased by 2.23%. Prepared foods have also recorded widespread increases of approximately 3% to 5%.

Fresh food has added another layer of pressure. Eggs, chicken, vegetables and fruit have all become more expensive. Stronger demand contributed to those increases. At the same time, volatile weather reduced production volumes and restricted supplies.

The Thai Helps Thai Plus programme has been one factor behind stronger demand. It increased household purchasing power during recent months. As a result, consumers had more money available for everyday purchases. The same programme has also become central to the recent improvement in consumer confidence.

Prepared food, transport and fresh produce keep inflation pressure elevated heading into year-end

Prepared meals remain another significant expense. Although price increases have moderated, menu prices remain high. The seven most popular dishes previously recorded average increases of ฿30 to ฿40 per item. Therefore, food costs continue weighing heavily on household budgets.

Energy is adding further pressure through transportation. Domestic retail fuel prices remain higher than during the same period last year. Bus fares have consequently increased as operators absorb higher fuel costs. Travel expenses are now another contributor to the inflation figures.

Core inflation has also accelerated. This measure excludes fresh food and energy. It rose to 1.44% in August from 1.34% in July. Across the first eight months, headline inflation averaged 1.37%, while core inflation averaged 0.94%.

Looking ahead, the Commerce Ministry expects inflation to remain positive during September. Fuel prices will remain an important driver. Ready-to-eat meals are also expected to stay expensive. In addition, vegetables, fruit, eggs and chicken could rise further.

Weather conditions remain important for fresh food supplies. Stronger consumer demand is also supporting prices. Higher transport costs add another layer to the picture. Together, those factors could maintain inflationary pressure through the final months of 2026.

Lower power bills offer some relief as Commerce Ministry sees inflation accelerating in fourth quarter

There are some counterweights. Electricity charges fell from ฿3.95 to ฿3.86 per unit from September. The lower tariff will remain through December. Meanwhile, personal care product prices are trending down amid intense competition and continued manufacturer promotions.

Even so, the Commerce Ministry maintained its full-year inflation forecast between 1.5% and 2.5%. The midpoint remains 2%. Officials expect third-quarter inflation of 2.37%. They then forecast an acceleration to 2.70% during the fourth quarter.

Nantapong Chiraleartpong, Director of the Office of Trade Policy and Strategy, expects continued pressure through year-end. Inflation could average more than 2% monthly during the remaining four months. The Middle East crisis and oil prices remain central to that outlook.

Domestic demand could also strengthen during the final quarter. Year-end festivals normally lift spending. Furthermore, disbursement under the 2027 government budget is accelerating. Continued government measures for consumption and tourism could provide another lift to demand.

Against that inflation backdrop, Tuesday brought a markedly stronger reading on consumer confidence. The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce released its August survey. Confidence improved across almost every category. Significantly, it was the first broad improvement recorded in six months.

Consumer confidence rebounds after six months as Thai Helps Thai Plus injects ฿140 billion into economy

The Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 53.2. The future confidence index also increased for a third consecutive month. That measure reached 61.4 in August. Consumers therefore showed stronger expectations for the months ahead, despite continuing economic pressures.

Thanavath Phonvichai presented the findings. He is Rector and Advisory Board Chairman at the Centre for Economic and Business Forecasting. The centre operates under the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.

Several factors drove the improvement. Chief among them was the Thai Helps Thai Plus programme. It supported consumption while easing some pressure from living costs. Thanavath said more than ฿140 billion circulated through the economy during the previous three months.

That injection produced measurable changes in consumer attitudes. Confidence surrounding home purchases improved. Sentiment towards buying cars also strengthened. In addition, consumers became more positive about tourism spending.

Agricultural prices provided another boost. Prices increased for rice, rubber, palm oil, animal feed corn and cassava. Higher commodity prices therefore strengthened farmers’ incomes. That provided additional support for purchasing power outside major urban areas.

VAT extension and firmer farm prices support confidence while SMEs and provincial jobs remain weak

On another front, the government extended Thailand’s 7% Value Added Tax rate for another year. The rate will remain until September 30, 2027. The decision provided additional certainty over an important component of consumer and business costs.

Business confidence also improved. The Thai Chamber of Commerce Confidence Index rose to 36.0. That marked its first recovery in six months. However, the reading remains far below 100 and continues to reflect difficult operating conditions.

The chamber described Thailand’s recovery as K-shaped. Some sections of the economy are improving, while others remain weak. Small and medium-sized enterprises are among those still facing serious problems. Many continue to struggle with liquidity and restricted credit access.

Household debt is another continuing constraint. Consumers also remain concerned about living costs and retail fuel prices. In northern Thailand, flooding has created further economic damage. These pressures remain in place despite the improvement in headline confidence.

Provincial employment is also showing signs of weakening. Employment outside Bangkok has started slowing as companies adjust to higher costs. Some businesses have begun layoffs. Nevertheless, surveyed companies expect investment and employment conditions to improve during the next six months.

September and October emerge as a turning point as stimulus ends and global energy costs surge higher

The contrast leaves the next two months particularly important. Thanavath identified the period as a crucial turning point for Thailand’s economy. Thai Helps Thai Plus expires during September. Therefore, a major source of recent consumer spending is approaching its scheduled end.

The scale of that support has been substantial. More than ฿140 billion circulated through the economy within three months. Without further supporting measures, the chamber warned that purchasing power could slow immediately. September and October will therefore be critical for domestic demand.

At precisely the same time, energy costs are moving sharply higher. Global crude has moved towards $95 per barrel. Singapore diesel has exceeded $172, while gasoline reached approximately $137. Thai retail prices are consequently approaching important levels for consumers and businesses.

Regular diesel now costs ฿39.84 per litre. Gasohol 95 stands at ฿39.09, while Gasohol 91 costs ฿38.72. Ordinary gasoline is considerably higher at ฿48.08. Those prices feed directly into household, transportation and business costs.

The Fuel Fund faces the same pressure from another direction. Its deficit has reached ฿83.291 billion. Moreover, the shortfall worsened by ฿2.819 billion in one week. Daily subsidies of approximately ฿500 million continue adding to that burden.

Political uncertainty joins flood damage and SME weakness as inflation rises despite firmer confidence

Political sentiment also weakened in the Chamber of Commerce survey. Assessments of both current and future political conditions declined. Consumers and businesses remain concerned about legal uncertainties involving coalition government parties. Those concerns centre on political stability and continuity in economic policies.

The chamber also identified immediate pressures requiring attention during the final months. Flood damage in northern Thailand remains a significant economic problem. SME liquidity is another. Tourism performance will also influence activity during the final quarter.

Taken together, the latest figures show a sharp divide in Thailand’s economic picture. Consumer confidence has recorded its first broad recovery in six months. Business confidence has also turned higher after six months of weakness. Yet costs are rising across most of the inflation basket.

Thai Helps Thai Plus has circulated more than ฿140 billion through the economy. Higher agricultural prices have also strengthened farm incomes. Future consumer confidence has risen for three consecutive months. However, the programme behind much of that spending expires during September.

Meanwhile, inflation has risen for five consecutive months. Prices increased across 310 of 464 monitored goods and services. Food inflation reached 2.99%, while core inflation accelerated to 1.44%. Headline inflation now stands at 2.53%.

Thailand enters final months with stronger confidence, rising inflation and an ฿83 billion Fuel Fund gap

Energy prices are intensifying that pressure. International diesel has surged beyond $172 per barrel. Domestic regular diesel is now just below ฿40 per litre. Ordinary gasoline has moved above ฿48.

At the same time, the Oil Fuel Fund is more than ฿83 billion in deficit. Its financial position deteriorated by another ฿2.819 billion within one week. The subsidy bill remains approximately ฿500 million each day.

Thailand therefore enters the final months of 2026 with stronger confidence but rapidly rising costs. The Commerce Ministry forecasts fourth-quarter inflation of 2.70%. The Chamber of Commerce, meanwhile, sees September and October as a pivotal period.

The two developments are now converging. Government-supported spending has strengthened confidence, while higher energy costs are lifting inflation. SMEs remain short of liquidity, household debt remains high and provincial employment is slowing.

Wednesday’s fuel increase sharpened that economic divide. Motorists immediately faced higher prices, while businesses confronted another increase in operating costs. Meanwhile, the spending programme credited with lifting confidence is approaching its scheduled end.

The next two months will therefore bring those forces together. Consumer confidence enters the period at a six-month high. Inflation enters it after five consecutive monthly increases. Fuel prices are rising, while the Fuel Fund’s deficit continues to deepen.

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Joseph Anthony is an expat from Ireland who has lived in Thailand for the last decade. He has worked extensively in the media including editorial positions in Ireland and Thailand. He is focused on economic and business stories in Thailand as well as the expat lifestyle.

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2026年9月9日上午11:14

经济、生活、泰国

周三，受中东危机影响，全球能源成本上涨，泰国再次遭遇燃油价格冲击，柴油价格每升上涨0.70泰铢，汽油和乙醇汽油价格每升上涨0.80泰铢。与此同时，8月份泰国整体通胀率加速至2.53%，在监测的464种商品中，有310种价格上涨。此外，石油燃料基金赤字扩大至832.91亿泰铢，一周内增加了28.19亿泰铢，而补贴支出约为每日5亿泰铢。然而，经济形势却呈现出两极分化的局面。在“泰助泰加”（Thai Helps Thai Plus）计划下，超过1400亿泰铢的资金注入，农产品价格走强，消费者预期增强，推动了消费者信心六个月来首次全面复苏。然而，该计划将于9月到期，届时燃油、食品和交通成本将进一步上涨，泰国商会认为9月和10月对泰国经济至关重要。

泰国通胀率飙升至2.53%，燃油基金赤字达到832.91亿泰铢，政府因此上调燃油价格。泰国商会主席塔纳瓦特·蓬维猜表示，市场信心正在回升。（来源：暹罗叻报）

受中东危机影响，全球能源成本大幅上涨，泰国周三上调燃油价格。柴油价格每升上涨0.70泰铢，汽油和汽油醇价格每升上涨0.80泰铢。此次涨价于9月9日在全国范围内生效。与此同时，通货膨胀加剧，石油燃料基金赤字进一步扩大。

燃油基金管理委员会周二的会议批准了此次增资。该基金目前存在832.91亿泰铢的赤字。值得注意的是，仅一周之内，赤字就扩大了28.19亿泰铢。此外，该基金每天的补贴负担也高达约5亿泰铢。

与此同时，泰国能源、食品和交通运输等品类的价格压力日益加剧。8月份总体通胀率达到2.53%，这是连续第五个月上涨。此外，商务部监测的464个商品和服务中，有310个的价格上涨。

美伊危机推高油价，泰国燃油基金赤字因巨额日常补贴而加剧。

眼下的压力主要来自国际能源市场。美伊对抗推高了油价。与此同时，霍尔木兹海峡的航运安全问题也日益严峻。通过谈判缓解紧张局势、重新开放航道的前景依然黯淡。

全球原油价格已逼近每桶95美元。成品油价格涨幅更为显著。9月8日，新加坡柴油价格飙升至每桶172美元以上。汽油价格也攀升至约每桶137美元。因此，泰国进口燃料成本大幅上涨。

国际危机依然高度动荡。美国在持续军事行动的同时，继续对伊朗实施封锁。此外，也门胡塞武装周二对沙特阿拉伯南部设施发动无人机袭击，给该地区的能源供应增添了新的威胁。

在此背景下，泰国燃油基金继续吸收部分国际油价上涨带来的压力。然而，其财务状况迅速恶化，累计赤字已超过830亿泰铢。每天约5亿泰铢的补贴进一步加剧了该基金的困境。

对此，周二的委员会会议调整了多种燃油产品的补贴和税费。普通柴油每升额外获得0.03泰铢的补贴，因此总补贴额增至每升5.80泰铢。即便加上这项补贴，普通柴油目前的零售价仍为每升39.84泰铢。

随着泰国将更多全球石油成本转嫁给车主，燃油补贴范围从柴油转向汽油醇。

B20柴油的补贴政策有所不同。其补贴每升减少了0.06泰铢，降至10.06泰铢。由此产生的零售价为每升34.84泰铢。相比之下，高级柴油每升需额外征收1.50泰铢的税费。

委员会还调整了对汽油和含醇汽油产品的监管策略。汽油税下调0.27泰铢，至每升4.55泰铢。然而，普通汽油价格却上涨至每升48.08泰铢，远高于主要含醇汽油产品的零售价格。

95号汽油醇再次获得0.18泰铢的补贴，总补贴额达到每升2.37泰铢，零售价达到每升39.09泰铢。同样，91号汽油醇也再次获得0.18泰铢的补贴，零售价现为每升38.72泰铢。

E20汽油补贴增加0.08泰铢，至每升5.77泰铢。因此，其零售价达到34.09泰铢。E85汽油的补贴则相反，下降0.50泰铢，至每升2.60泰铢，零售价为30.03泰铢。

这些调整表明，泰国零售燃油市场仍受到大规模干预。然而，国际油价持续上涨。因此，该基金必须在国内零售油价上涨和其迅速恶化的财务状况之间取得平衡。周三的油价上涨将部分国际油价成本转嫁给了驾车者。

随着食品、新鲜农产品和能源价格在8月份大幅上涨，泰国各地的通货膨胀范围扩大。

时机尤为重要，因为泰国通胀已经加速。本周早些时候，泰国商务部公布8月份消费者价格指数（CPI）为102.67，年通胀率为2.53%。这是通胀连续第五个月上涨。

更重要的是，此次价格上涨的范围很广。在监测的464种商品和服务中，310种价格上涨，只有123种价格下降，另有31种价格保持不变。因此，此次通胀上涨的影响范围远远超出了燃料和能源领域。

食品和非酒精饮料是价格上涨的主要因素之一，该类商品价格上涨了2.99%。除食品和饮料外的其他类别商品价格上涨了2.23%。预制食品的价格也普遍上涨，涨幅约为3%至5%。

新鲜食品价格上涨，又增加了一层压力。鸡蛋、鸡肉、蔬菜和水果的价格都上涨了。强劲的需求推高了价格。与此同时，不稳定的天气导致产量下降，供应受限。

“泰助泰加强计划”是需求强劲增长的因素之一。该计划在近几个月提高了家庭购买力，使消费者有更多资金用于日常开支。同时，该计划也对近期消费者信心的提升起到了关键作用。

预制食品、交通运输和新鲜农产品价格上涨，使得通胀压力在年底前居高不下。

预制食品仍然是另一项重要的开支。尽管价格上涨幅度有所放缓，但菜单上的价格仍然很高。此前最受欢迎的七道菜平均每道上涨了30至40泰铢。因此，食品成本仍然是家庭预算的一大负担。

能源价格正通过交通运输领域进一步推高通胀。国内零售燃油价格仍高于去年同期水平。由于运营商承担了更高的燃油成本，公交车票价也相应上涨。出行支出如今已成为推高通胀的又一因素。

核心通胀率也加速上升。该指标剔除了生鲜食品和能源价格。8月份核心通胀率从7月份的1.34%升至1.44%。今年前八个月，总体通胀率平均为1.37%，核心通胀率平均为0.94%。

展望未来，商务部预计9月份通胀率将保持正增长。燃油价格仍将是重要的推高通胀因素。即食食品价格预计也将居高不下。此外，蔬菜、水果、鸡蛋和鸡肉的价格可能进一步上涨。

天气状况对新鲜食品供应仍然至关重要。强劲的消费需求也支撑了价格。运输成本上涨则使情况更加复杂。这些因素共同作用，可能会使通胀压力持续到2026年最后几个月。

电费下降在一定程度上缓解了商务部预计第四季度通胀加速的压力。

不过也有一些抵消因素。9月份起，电价从每度3.95泰铢降至3.86泰铢，较低的电价将持续到12月。与此同时，在激烈的市场竞争和厂商持续促销的推动下，个人护理产品的价格也呈下降趋势。

尽管如此，商务部仍维持全年通胀预期在1.5%至2.5%之间，中值为2%。官员们预计第三季度通胀率为2.37%，并预测第四季度将加速至2.70%。

贸易政策与战略办公室主任南塔蓬·奇拉勒蓬预计，年底前通胀压力将持续存在。剩余四个月的月均通胀率可能超过2%。中东危机和油价仍然是影响这一前景的关键因素。

国内需求在最后一个季度也可能走强。年末节庆活动通常会提振消费。此外，2027年政府预算的拨付速度正在加快。政府持续推出的消费和旅游刺激措施也可能进一步提振需求。

在通胀背景下，周二公布的消费者信心指数显著走强。泰国商会大学发布了8月份的消费者信心调查报告。几乎所有类别的消费者信心均有所提升。值得注意的是，这是六个月来首次出现全面改善。

泰国经济复苏计划（Thai Helps Thai Plus）注入1400亿泰铢后，消费者信心在六个月后反弹。

消费者信心指数攀升至53.2。未来信心指数也连续第三个月上涨，8月份达到61.4。因此，尽管经济压力持续存在，消费者对未来几个月的预期依然强劲。

Thanavath Phonvichai介绍了研究结果。他是经济与商业预测中心主任兼顾问委员会主席。该中心隶属于泰国商会大学。

多种因素推动了经济的改善。其中最主要的是“泰助泰加强计划”（Thai Helps Thai Plus）。该计划提振了消费，同时缓解了生活成本的压力。塔纳瓦特表示，过去三个月，超过1400亿泰铢的资金在经济中流通。

这一举措显著改变了消费者的态度。购房信心增强，购车意愿也随之提升。此外，消费者对旅游消费的态度也更加积极。

农产品价格上涨进一步提振了经济。大米、橡胶、棕榈油、饲料玉米和木薯的价格均有所上涨。因此，大宗商品价格上涨提高了农民的收入，从而增强了主要城市以外地区居民的购买力。

增值税延期和农产品价格走强提振了市场信心，但中小企业和地方就业形势依然疲软。

另一方面，泰国政府将7%的增值税税率延长一年，直至2027年9月30日。此举为消费者和企业成本中的一个重要组成部分提供了更多确定性。

商业信心也有所改善。泰国商会信心指数升至36.0，这是六个月来的首次回升。然而，该指数仍远低于100，继续反映出严峻的经营环境。

商会形容泰国经济复苏呈K型走势。部分经济领域正在改善，而其他领域依然疲软。中小企业仍面临严峻挑战，许多企业持续面临流动性不足和信贷渠道受限的问题。

家庭债务是另一个持续存在的制约因素。消费者仍然担忧生活成本和零售燃油价格。在泰国北部，洪水造成了进一步的经济损失。尽管总体信心有所改善，但这些压力依然存在。

省内其他地区的就业形势也出现疲软迹象。曼谷以外地区的就业增长速度已开始放缓，因为企业需要调整以应对不断上涨的成本。一些企业已经开始裁员。尽管如此，受访企业预计未来六个月投资和就业状况将有所改善。

随着刺激措施结束和全球能源成本飙升，9月和10月成为转折点。

这种对比使得接下来的两个月显得尤为重要。塔纳瓦特认为，这段时期是泰国经济的关键转折点。“泰助泰加”计划将于9月到期。因此，近期消费支出的一大来源即将结束。

这项支持力度相当可观。短短三个月内，超过1400亿泰铢的资金流入经济体系。商会警告称，如果没有进一步的支持措施，购买力可能立即放缓。因此，9月和10月对国内需求至关重要。

与此同时，能源成本正急剧上涨。全球原油价格已逼近每桶95美元。新加坡柴油价格已超过每桶172美元，汽油价格也达到每桶约137美元。泰国零售价格也因此逼近消费者和企业面临的重要水平。

普通柴油价格现为每升39.84泰铢。95号汽油价格为每升39.09泰铢，91号汽油价格为每升38.72泰铢。普通汽油价格则高得多，为每升48.08泰铢。这些价格直接影响到家庭、交通和商业支出。

燃油基金也面临着来自另一个方面的压力。其赤字已达832.91亿泰铢。此外，一周内缺口又增加了28.19亿泰铢。每天约5亿泰铢的补贴也进一步加重了这一负担。

尽管信心增强，但政治不确定性加剧了洪灾损失和中小企业疲软，通胀也随之上升，而与此同时，政治不确定性也加剧了通胀。

商会调查也显示，民众的政治情绪有所减弱。对当前和未来政治形势的评估均有所下降。消费者和企业仍然担忧联合执政政党间的法律不确定性。这些担忧主要集中在政治稳定性和经济政策的连续性上。

商会还指出了最后几个月需要重点关注的几个压力点。泰国北部洪灾造成的损失仍然是一个重大的经济问题。中小企业的流动性问题是另一个重要因素。旅游业的表现也将影响最后一个季度的经济活动。

综合来看，最新数据显示泰国经济形势呈现明显分化。消费者信心六个月来首次出现全面复苏。企业信心在经历了六个月的疲软后也出现回升。然而，构成通胀篮子的大部分商品和服务的价格都在上涨。

泰助计划（Thai Helps Thai Plus）已向泰国经济注入超过1400亿泰铢的资金。农产品价格上涨也提振了农民收入。消费者信心指数已连续三个月上升。然而，支撑这笔支出的大部分资金来自一项将于9月到期的扶持计划。

与此同时，通货膨胀已连续五个月上涨。在监测的464种商品和服务中，有310种价格上涨。食品通胀率达到2.99%，核心通胀率加速至1.44%。总体通胀率目前为2.53%。

泰国进入最后几个月，信心增强，通胀上升，燃油基金缺口高达830亿泰铢。

能源价格加剧了这种压力。国际柴油价格已飙升至每桶172美元以上。国内普通柴油价格目前略低于每升40泰铢。普通汽油价格已超过每升48泰铢。

与此同时，石油燃料基金的赤字超过830亿泰铢。一周内，其财务状况又恶化了28.19亿泰铢。补贴支出仍然维持在每天约5亿泰铢。

因此，泰国在进入2026年最后几个月时信心增强，但成本也在迅速上涨。商务部预测第四季度通胀率为2.70%。与此同时，商会则认为9月和10月是关键时期。

这两个因素目前正趋于融合。政府支持的支出提振了市场信心，而能源价格上涨则推高了通货膨胀。中小企业仍然面临流动性短缺，家庭债务居高不下，省级就业增长放缓。

周三的燃油价格上涨加剧了经济分化。驾车者立即面临更高的油价，而企业则面临运营成本的再次上涨。与此同时，此前被认为提振了市场信心的支出计划也即将结束。

因此，未来两个月各种因素将汇聚在一起。消费者信心指数进入六个月高位。通胀率在连续五个月上涨后进入这一时期。燃油价格上涨，而燃油基金赤字持续扩大。

国内生产总值增长，创十一年来新高，但通货膨胀也失控。财政部长警告称，油价将居高不下。

尽管遭到反对，泰国政府仍坚持4000亿贷款必须继续进行，经济风暴的中心正处于风口浪尖。

财政部长为4000亿泰铢贷款法令辩护，反对派向宪法法院提起诉讼

泰国内阁批准4000亿泰铢贷款，用于应对中东战争、能源危机和通货膨胀。

泰国政府将通过一项5000亿泰铢的贷款法令来稳定财政，以应对公共财政压力。

预算局警告财政部长，随着公共债务不断攀升，泰国经济正面临严峻危机。

新任部长确认将对外国旅游采取强硬措施。增加收费、缩短签证期限并强制购买保险。

签证入境期限由60天缩短至30天。鉴于外国游客数量下降10%，该方案已原则上达成一致。

部长确认将取消60天签证制度，以回应日益增长的行业安全担忧

泰国旅游业负责人警告称，如果再次爆发安全争议，泰国将面临被中国列入黑名单的风险。

翁英终于下达了命令。泰国切断了缅甸诈骗中心的电力供应。上午9点结束

约瑟夫·安东尼是一位来自爱尔兰的侨民，过去十年一直居住在泰国。他曾在爱尔兰和泰国的媒体行业担任过编辑职务，拥有丰富的媒体从业经验。他主要关注泰国的经济和商业新闻，以及侨民的生活方式。

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