Thailand’s GDP may get a bump up from the 3rd quarter after recent economic agency talks with PM泰国经济机构近期与总理会谈后,泰国第三季度GDP或将有所增长。
Thailand’s GDP figures face a dramatic shake-up after Anutin questions weak GDP growth. Investigators uncover ฿800 billion in missing factory output. Analysts predict a possible… Read More ›
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October 28, 2026 at 11:36 am
in Economy , Living , Media , Politics , Thailand
Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul has challenged Thailand’s dismal GDP growth figures, triggering a major review of the country’s economic statistics. On Tuesday, the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) denied orders to inflate growth but revealed ฿800 billion in electronics manufacturing output missing from official industrial calculations. The discovery could lift Thailand’s projected 2.1% growth to as much as 2.6%, according to analysts. Meanwhile, the government faces mounting pressure from high oil prices, a weakening baht and sluggish growth compared with regional rivals. Revised figures are expected in November, with the scale of any GDP adjustment still uncertain.
Prime Minister Anutin challenges weak GDP growth as ฿800 billion in factory output goes uncounted. NESDC Secretary-General Danucha Pichayanan denies orders to inflate GDP figures. ( Source: Daily News )
Thailand’s weak economic growth figures have triggered a government review after Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul challenged the country’s disappointing performance.
On Tuesday, the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) denied receiving instructions to inflate GDP figures. However, Secretary-General Danucha Pichayanan confirmed that officials had uncovered a major discrepancy in industrial statistics.
Investigators identified approximately ฿800 billion in electronics manufacturing output missing from Thailand’s existing production index. The discovery could significantly increase reported economic growth from the third quarter of 2026.
Thailand’s weak GDP growth faces scrutiny as Anutin challenges the 2.1% forecast amid stronger indicators
The controversy follows mounting concern over Thailand’s sluggish economy compared with its Southeast Asian competitors. Exports, foreign investment, employment and tax receipts have shown improvement.
Yet overall GDP growth remains subdued, raising questions about the accuracy of existing industrial measurements. Notably, financial analysts estimate that statistical revisions could increase reported growth by 0.2–0.5 percentage points. The government is examining whether outdated calculations have failed to capture substantial manufacturing activity.
The dispute intensified on Saturday, 24 October, when Anutin publicly challenged Thailand’s projected economic growth of 2.1%. Speaking during his Talk with Anutin’s Cabinet programme, he expressed confidence that growth would exceed the forecast.
He also called on the NESDC to reassess its calculations, assumptions and underlying economic data. In particular, the Prime Minister questioned why stronger exports and investment were not producing better GDP figures.
PM warns weak GDP data may hurt investor confidence as NESDC chief denies orders to inflate growth
Anutin highlighted improving employment and tax receipts alongside expanding foreign investment. Despite these developments, Thailand’s headline growth remained disappointing. He argued that weak GDP figures could damage investor confidence and increase financing costs.
His intervention placed the NESDC under immediate scrutiny. The agency compiles Thailand’s national economic accounts and prepares official growth assessments used by policymakers and financial institutions.
In response, NESDC Secretary-General Danucha Pichayanan addressed the controversy at Government House on Tuesday, 27 October. He rejected suggestions that the Prime Minister had demanded an artificial increase in economic growth figures.
“The Prime Minister did not order any manipulation of the GDP growth figures,” Danucha declared. Instead, he said Anutin wanted accurate economic information to support government planning and policymaking.
NESDC says concerns date to 2024 as officials examine whether outdated industrial data miss factory growth
Danucha disclosed that NESDC officials had met the Prime Minister repeatedly during the previous two to three months. Those meetings examined Thailand’s economic performance and the discrepancy between improving indicators and weak GDP growth.
Although several sectors showed progress, overall economic expansion remained below expectations. The discussions therefore focused on whether existing statistical measurements adequately reflected economic activity.
The concerns extended well beyond the Prime Minister’s latest intervention. According to Danucha, economic agencies had questioned Thailand’s manufacturing statistics since 2024. International analytical institutions had also identified possible weaknesses in the Manufacturing Production Index. As a result, officials began examining whether the index reflected major changes in Thailand’s industrial structure.
At the centre of the investigation is an industrial production index based on manufacturing conditions in 2021. Since then, Thailand’s industrial sector has undergone substantial changes.
New factories have entered production, existing manufacturers have expanded and new products have become important export earners. However, some of these developments were not adequately represented in the existing calculations.
Officials uncover ฿800 billion in electronics output missing from Thailand’s industrial production index
The most substantial discrepancy concerns electronics manufacturers producing goods for overseas markets. Danucha revealed that four or five major manufacturing groups were missing from the index.
Together, their production was valued at approximately ฿800 billion. The omission raised questions about the accuracy of Thailand’s recorded industrial expansion.
The discovery followed six or seven months of investigation by the NESDC and other economic agencies. During this period, officials worked with Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas.
They examined manufacturing production alongside broader economic indicators and export performance. Subsequently, the review identified substantial electronics output that had not been adequately incorporated into the index.
The ฿800 billion figure represents gross manufacturing production rather than an equivalent amount of missing GDP. Industrial output includes intermediate materials, components and other production inputs. By contrast, GDP measures economic value added across the economy. Therefore, the discovery does not automatically translate into an additional ฿800 billion in national economic output.
Missing electronics output could lift GDP as Thailand examines growth in AI-related manufacturing
Even so, Danucha indicated that correcting the industrial measurements could materially increase reported GDP growth. The NESDC expects improvements to begin affecting third-quarter figures. The eventual adjustment will depend on how the revised manufacturing data feed into Thailand’s national accounts.
The discrepancy is especially significant because Thailand has benefited from expanding demand for electronics linked to artificial intelligence. Danucha referred to assessments involving the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.
These identified Thailand alongside South Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia as economies benefiting from AI-related industrial expansion.
All four economies have substantial electronics manufacturing industries. Nevertheless, Thailand’s GDP growth has remained weaker despite rising electronics exports. This contrast prompted questions about whether the country’s industrial statistics accurately captured newer manufacturing activities. Meanwhile, the expansion of technology-related production has become increasingly important to regional economic performance.
Thailand prepares chain-linked manufacturing index to capture new factories and changing industrial output
The NESDC is preparing to replace outdated industrial calculations with a chain-linked production index. Under this approach, statistical weights change as industries and manufacturing patterns evolve.
Consequently, newer factories and products can be incorporated more accurately into production measurements. The revised system would also better reflect changes in the relative importance of different manufacturing industries.
The existing index uses 2021 as its fixed base year. Some factories identified during the investigation were not operating at that time. Others subsequently expanded production or introduced products inadequately represented in the original calculations. As part of the review, officials are examining how these developments should be reflected in updated industrial statistics.
Danucha expects the changes to have a positive effect on reported manufacturing performance. However, he cautioned that GDP calculations extend beyond industrial production. Agriculture, services and other economic activities also influence national growth. Accordingly, stronger manufacturing figures would not necessarily produce an equivalent increase in overall GDP.
Kasikorn Securities estimates GDP growth could rise by 0.2–0.5 points without any new economic activity
Financial analysts have already assessed the possible implications. According to Bangkok business sources, Kasikorn Securities estimated that statistical revisions could increase real GDP growth by 0.2–0.5 percentage points. Applied to the existing 2.1% projection, that would produce growth of approximately 2.3–2.6%. This calculation remains illustrative rather than an official revised government forecast.
Importantly, the analysts distinguished between statistical adjustments and additional economic activity. A higher reported growth figure would not necessarily mean Thailand had generated new investment, employment or production. Rather, it could reflect activity already taking place but inadequately measured under existing calculations.
The review therefore concerns how Thailand records economic performance. It does not establish that industrial production has suddenly increased. Nor does the discovery demonstrate that the country’s previously reported GDP figures were deliberately understated. The NESDC has attributed the discrepancy to weaknesses in existing statistical methods.
Finance Minister Ekniti demands accurate figures and warns strong indicators may not benefit everyone
The Finance Minister had already addressed the controversy on Monday, 26 October. Ekniti insisted that the government wanted accurate economic information rather than a predetermined GDP figure.
He compared economic policymaking with medical diagnosis, warning that incorrect measurements could lead to inappropriate treatment. Similarly, unreliable economic data could affect government spending, investment and wider policy decisions.
Ekniti also acknowledged that stronger economic indicators did not necessarily translate into improvements across the population. Economic expansion could remain concentrated in particular industries. In such circumstances, headline growth figures might not reflect conditions throughout the wider economy. He therefore emphasised the importance of accurate measurements when assessing economic performance.
His intervention came two days after Anutin publicly questioned the 2.1% growth projection. However, the Finance Minister maintained that statistical accuracy remained the government’s objective. The Prime Minister had requested a reassessment, while economic officials were already investigating weaknesses in industrial measurements.
Statistical review predates Anutin’s challenge as officials prepare October and November economic releases
Danucha subsequently confirmed that the technical review had begun six or seven months earlier. Furthermore, concerns about the manufacturing index had been raised since 2024. The investigation therefore preceded Anutin’s public intervention on 24 October. Nevertheless, the Prime Minister’s remarks brought the issue directly into public debate.
The distinction between revising forecasts and correcting industrial statistics remains central to the controversy. Economic forecasts estimate future performance using available information and assumptions.
Manufacturing indices measure changes in industrial production. National GDP calculations then incorporate economic activity across multiple sectors.
Consequently, changes to one measurement do not automatically determine the final GDP result. The NESDC must assess the revised industrial figures alongside other components of national output. Officials have not established the precise size of any resulting adjustment.
The next significant release is scheduled for Friday, 30 October. The Office of Industrial Economics is due to publish September’s manufacturing production figures. Thereafter, attention will turn to the NESDC’s third-quarter GDP release in November. Danucha expects improvements to the industrial index to begin appearing in those calculations.
November GDP figures will test revisions as NESDC warns of higher oil prices and pressure on the baht
The November figures could provide the first indication of the review’s impact on recorded economic growth. However, officials have not confirmed whether the adjustments will match analysts’ estimates. The NESDC has also not established how extensively previous economic measurements might change.
Separately, Danucha warned on Tuesday that Thailand faced continuing pressure from international energy markets. He said global oil prices could remain elevated for an extended period. The NESDC linked the outlook to ongoing conflict and fighting in the Middle East. With no immediate settlement in sight, further price increases remained possible.
Higher oil prices were already beginning to affect Thailand’s inflation outlook. Even so, the NESDC expected overall inflation to remain within its stated 3% target range during 2026. The assessment came amid continued concern over the country’s external financial position.
On another front, Danucha identified Thailand’s current account balance as an issue requiring close monitoring. The weakening baht had increased the cost of imported oil. This added pressure following the current account deficit recorded during the previous quarter. Energy imports therefore remained a significant concern for economic officials.
Thailand diversifies oil supplies as weaker baht raises import costs and industrial index review continues
Thailand had responded by diversifying its oil supplies and slowing imports compared with the second quarter. These measures were intended to manage exposure to rising international energy costs. Nonetheless, a weaker currency continued to increase import expenses while international oil prices remained elevated.
The energy warnings added another dimension to the government’s economic assessments. Officials were examining manufacturing statistics while monitoring inflation, import costs and external balances. At the same time, Thailand’s reported growth continued to lag behind several regional economies.
The NESDC’s immediate priority is completing the industrial index review ahead of the next GDP release. Its investigation has identified major electronics manufacturers inadequately represented in existing calculations. Yet the precise contribution of their output to revised national growth remains undetermined.
Anutin’s GDP challenge awaits new data as NESDC maintains no order was issued to inflate growth figures
For Anutin, the issue began with the apparent contradiction between improving economic indicators and weak headline growth. His public intervention challenged the existing 2.1% projection and demanded a reassessment.
Danucha has since denied receiving instructions to inflate GDP figures. Instead, the NESDC has disclosed an extensive statistical review already underway.
The findings have established a substantial gap in Thailand’s manufacturing production measurements. They have also prompted estimates of a potentially higher GDP growth figure. However, the final adjustment remains subject to the NESDC’s revised calculations and the performance of other economic sectors.
The next figures will emerge from the September industrial production release on 30 October. November’s third-quarter GDP report will then show whether the statistical corrections materially change Thailand’s recorded economic growth.
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Joseph Anthony is an expat from Ireland who has lived in Thailand for the last decade. He has worked extensively in the media including editorial positions in Ireland and Thailand. He is focused on economic and business stories in Thailand as well as the expat lifestyle.
All posts by Joseph O' Connor
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2026年10月28日上午11:36
经济、生活、媒体、政治、泰国
泰国总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔对泰国惨淡的GDP增长数据提出质疑,引发了对该国经济统计数据的全面审查。周二,国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)否认了有关虚增经济增长的指令,但披露官方工业数据中漏报了8000亿泰铢的电子制造业产值。分析人士称,这一发现可能将泰国预计的2.1%的增长率提升至2.6%。与此同时,政府正面临着来自高油价、泰铢贬值以及与区域竞争对手相比增长乏力的日益增长的压力。预计11月份将公布修订后的数据,但GDP调整的幅度仍不确定。
泰国总理阿努廷质疑国内生产总值增长疲软,称有8000亿泰铢的工厂产值未被计入。泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会秘书长达努查·皮查亚南否认接到过虚增国内生产总值的命令。(来源:《每日新闻》)
泰国疲软的经济增长数据引发了政府的审查,此前总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库尔对该国令人失望的经济表现提出了质疑。
周二,国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)否认收到虚增GDP数据的指示。然而,秘书长达努查·皮查亚南证实,官员们确实发现工业统计数据存在重大差异。
调查人员发现,泰国现有生产指数中遗漏了约8000亿泰铢的电子制造业产值。这一发现有望显著提高2026年第三季度以来公布的经济增长数据。
尽管各项经济指标走强,但泰国疲软的GDP增长仍面临质疑,阿努廷对2.1%的预期增幅提出质疑。
这场争议源于人们对泰国经济增长速度落后于东南亚竞争对手的日益担忧。尽管出口、外国投资、就业和税收收入均有所改善,但泰国的经济增长依然乏力。
然而,整体GDP增长依然低迷,这引发了人们对现有工业指标准确性的质疑。值得注意的是,金融分析师估计,统计数据的修正可能会使公布的增长率提高0.2至0.5个百分点。政府正在调查过时的计算方法是否未能反映出大量的制造业活动。
10月24日星期六,这场争端进一步升级。阿努廷公开质疑泰国2.1%的经济增长预期。在与内阁成员的对话节目中,他表示有信心经济增长将超过预期。
他还呼吁国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)重新评估其计算方法、假设和基础经济数据。总理尤其质疑,为何出口和投资增长强劲却未能带来更好的GDP数据。
总理警告称,疲软的GDP数据可能损害投资者信心,而国家就业与技能发展公司(NESDC)负责人否认接到虚增经济增长的命令。
阿努廷强调,就业和税收收入有所改善,外国投资也在不断扩大。尽管如此,泰国的整体经济增长仍然令人失望。他认为,疲软的GDP数据可能会损害投资者信心,并增加融资成本。
他的介入使泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)立即受到审查。该机构负责编制泰国国民经济核算,并编写供政策制定者和金融机构使用的官方增长评估报告。
对此,国家经济发展和技能发展委员会秘书长达努查·皮查亚南于10月27日星期二在政府大楼就此争议发表了讲话。他驳斥了总理要求人为提高经济增长数据的说法。
达努查宣称:“总理并未下令操纵GDP增长数据。” 他表示,阿努廷只是希望获得准确的经济信息,以支持政府的规划和政策制定。
国家就业与技能发展公司(NESDC)表示,担忧情绪可追溯至2024年,官员们正在调查过时的工业数据是否未能反映工厂增长情况。
达努查透露,国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)官员在过去两三个月里多次会见了总理。这些会谈探讨了泰国的经济表现以及各项指标改善与GDP增长疲软之间的矛盾。
尽管多个行业取得了进展,但整体经济扩张仍低于预期。因此,讨论的重点在于现有统计指标是否能充分反映经济活动。
这些担忧远不止于总理最近的表态。据达努查称,自2024年以来,经济机构就对泰国的制造业统计数据提出质疑。国际分析机构也指出制造业生产指数可能存在缺陷。因此,官员们开始研究该指数是否反映了泰国产业结构的重大变化。
本次调查的核心是基于 2021 年制造业状况的工业生产指数。自那时以来,泰国工业部门发生了重大变化。
新工厂投产,现有制造商扩大规模,新产品成为重要的出口创汇产品。然而,现有计算方法并未充分反映出其中一些发展情况。
官员发现泰国工业生产指数中漏报了8000亿泰铢的电子产品产值。
最大的差异体现在为海外市场生产产品的电子产品制造商身上。达努查透露,该指数中缺少四五家主要的制造企业集团。
它们的总产值约为8000亿泰铢。这一遗漏引发了人们对泰国记录的工业扩张准确性的质疑。
这一发现是国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)和其他经济机构历经六七个月调查后得出的。在此期间,官员们与副总理兼财政部长埃克尼蒂·尼蒂坦普拉帕斯(Ekniti Nitithanprapas)密切合作。
他们考察了制造业生产情况以及更广泛的经济指标和出口表现。随后,审查发现,大量的电子产品产出并未充分纳入该指数。
8000亿泰铢这个数字代表的是制造业总产值,而不是等值的GDP缺口。工业产值包括中间材料、零部件和其他生产投入。相比之下,GDP衡量的是整个经济体的增加值。因此,这一发现并不意味着国民经济产出增加了8000亿泰铢。
泰国正在研究人工智能相关制造业的增长,电子产品产量的下降或将提振GDP。
尽管如此,达努查指出,修正工业计量数据可能会显著提高公布的GDP增长数据。泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)预计,这些改进措施将从第三季度开始影响相关数据。最终的调整幅度将取决于修正后的制造业数据如何纳入泰国国民经济核算体系。
这一差异尤为显著,因为泰国受益于人工智能相关电子产品需求的增长。达努查提到了世界银行和国际货币基金组织的相关评估。
这些研究指出,泰国与韩国、台湾和马来西亚一样,都是从人工智能相关产业扩张中受益的经济体。
这四个经济体都拥有规模可观的电子制造业。然而,尽管电子产品出口不断增长,泰国的GDP增长依然疲软。这种反差引发了人们对该国工业统计数据是否准确反映新兴制造业活动的质疑。与此同时,技术相关生产的扩张对区域经济表现的重要性日益凸显。
泰国编制产业链指数,以反映新工厂和不断变化的工业产出。
国家就业与技能发展委员会 (NESDC) 正准备用链式生产指数取代过时的产业计算方法。在这种方法下,统计权重会随着产业和制造模式的演变而变化。
因此,新的工厂和产品可以更准确地纳入生产计量体系。修订后的体系也能更好地反映不同制造业相对重要性的变化。
现行指数以2021年为固定基期。调查中发现的一些工厂当时并未运营。另一些工厂随后扩大了生产规模,或推出了在原计算中未充分体现的产品。作为审查的一部分,相关部门正在研究如何将这些变化反映在更新后的工业统计数据中。
达努查预计这些变化将对公布的制造业业绩产生积极影响。但他同时提醒,GDP的计算不仅仅涵盖工业生产。农业、服务业和其他经济活动也会影响国民增长。因此,制造业数据走强并不一定意味着整体GDP也会相应增长。
开泰证券估计,即使没有任何新的经济活动,GDP增速也可能上升0.2-0.5个百分点。
金融分析师已对可能的影响进行了评估。据曼谷商界人士透露,开泰证券估计,统计数据的修正可能使实际GDP增长率提高0.2至0.5个百分点。若将这一修正应用于目前2.1%的预测值,则增长率将达到约2.3%至2.6%。需要注意的是,此估算仅为示例,并非官方修订后的政府预测。
重要的是,分析师区分了统计调整和额外的经济活动。较高的报告增长率并不一定意味着泰国创造了新的投资、就业或生产。相反,它可能反映的是已经发生但现有计算方法未能充分衡量的经济活动。
因此,此次审查关注的是泰国如何记录经济表现,而非工业生产是否突然增长。审查结果也并未表明该国此前公布的GDP数据存在故意低估的情况。泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)将这一差异归因于现有统计方法的缺陷。
财政部长埃克尼蒂要求提供准确的数据,并警告说,强劲的指标可能并非对所有人都有利。
财政部长已于10月26日星期一就此争议发表讲话。埃克尼蒂坚持认为,政府需要的是准确的经济信息,而不是预先设定的GDP数据。
他将经济政策制定比作医疗诊断,并警告说,不准确的衡量标准可能导致不恰当的治疗。同样,不可靠的经济数据也会影响政府支出、投资和更广泛的政策决策。
埃克尼蒂也承认,经济指标走强并不一定意味着全体民众的生活水平都会提高。经济扩张可能仍然集中在特定行业。在这种情况下,总体增长数据可能无法反映整体经济状况。因此,他强调在评估经济表现时,准确衡量经济指标至关重要。
阿努廷公开质疑2.1%的增长预测两天后,他的介入引发了争议。然而,财政部长坚持认为,统计数据的准确性仍然是政府的目标。总理已要求重新评估,而经济官员也已在调查工业指标方面的不足之处。
统计审查早于阿努廷的挑战,官员们正在准备 10 月和 11 月的经济数据发布。
达努查随后证实,技术审查早在六七个月前就已开始。此外,自2024年以来,就有人对制造业指数表示担忧。因此,这项调查早于阿努京10月24日的公开讲话。尽管如此,总理的讲话还是将这个问题直接推到了公众舆论的风口浪尖。
修正预测和修正行业统计数据之间的区别仍然是这场争议的核心。经济预测是利用现有信息和假设来估算未来的经济表现。
制造业指数衡量工业生产的变化。国民生产总值(GDP)的计算则纳入了多个行业的经济活动。
因此,对某一项指标的调整并不会自动决定最终的GDP结果。国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)必须将修订后的工业数据与其他国民产出组成部分结合起来进行评估。官员们尚未确定任何调整的具体幅度。
下一个重要数据发布日期定于10月30日星期五。工业经济办公室将公布9月份的制造业生产数据。此后,市场关注点将转向国家就业与技能发展中心(NESDC)11月份发布的第三季度GDP数据。达努查预计,届时工业指数的改善将开始体现在这些数据的计算结果中。
11月份的GDP数据将考验此前的修正预期,因为NESDC警告称,油价上涨将给泰铢带来压力。
11月份的数据或许能初步反映此次评估对已记录经济增长的影响。然而,官方尚未确认调整结果是否与分析师的预期相符。国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)也尚未确定此前的经济指标可能会发生多大程度的变化。
此外,达努查周二警告称,泰国面临来自国际能源市场的持续压力。他表示,全球油价可能在较长时间内维持高位。泰国国家能源安全发展委员会(NESDC)将这一前景与中东持续不断的冲突和战事联系起来。由于短期内看不到解决的希望,油价仍有可能进一步上涨。
油价上涨已开始影响泰国的通胀前景。即便如此,泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)预计,2026年泰国整体通胀率仍将保持在3%的目标区间内。这一评估是在外界持续担忧泰国外部金融状况的背景下做出的。
另一方面,达努查指出,泰国的经常账户余额是一个需要密切关注的问题。泰铢贬值推高了进口石油成本,这加剧了上一季度经常账户赤字带来的压力。因此,能源进口仍然是经济官员们关注的重点。
泰国因泰铢贬值推高进口成本,推进石油供应多元化,工业指数评估仍在进行中。
泰国采取的应对措施包括实现石油供应多元化,并放缓进口速度(与第二季度相比)。这些措施旨在控制不断上涨的国际能源成本带来的风险。然而,货币贬值导致进口成本持续上升,而国际油价也居高不下。
能源预警为政府的经济评估增添了新的维度。官员们在密切关注通货膨胀、进口成本和外部收支平衡的同时,也在研究制造业统计数据。与此同时,泰国公布的经济增长数据继续落后于几个区域经济体。
国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)的当务之急是在下次发布GDP数据前完成工业指数的审查。其调查发现,现有计算方法未能充分反映主要电子产品制造商的贡献。然而,这些制造商的产出对修订后的国民增长的具体贡献仍未确定。
阿努廷对GDP的质疑尚待新数据回应,因为NESDC坚称并未下令虚增增长数据。
对阿努廷而言,问题始于经济指标改善与总体增长疲软之间明显的矛盾。他公开质疑了当时2.1%的增长预测,并要求重新评估。
达努查否认曾接到指示虚增GDP数据。相反,国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)透露,一项全面的统计审查工作已经展开。
研究结果揭示了泰国制造业生产数据存在显著差距,并促使人们预估实际GDP增长率可能更高。然而,最终调整结果仍需取决于国家经济和社会发展委员会(NESDC)的修订计算以及其他经济部门的表现。
下一批数据将来自10月30日公布的9月份工业生产数据。11月份的第三季度GDP报告将显示,统计修正是否会对泰国已公布的经济增长数据产生实质性影响。
泰国总理在曼谷举行的国际货币基金组织和世界银行峰会闭幕之际沾沾自喜,坚称泰国的地位已经提升。
美国驻曼谷代表斯科特·贝森特向国际货币基金组织和世界银行发表了措辞强硬的讲话,他本人却冷落了此次会议。
阿努廷总理在曼谷举行的国际货币基金组织和世界银行论坛上谈到,经济应以“高质量增长”为驱动。
国际货币基金组织和世界银行会议期间发生抗议活动,并演变为暴力事件,但曼谷警方强烈否认使用暴力手段。
曼谷警察局长表示,曼谷已做好迎接世界银行和国际货币基金组织会议的准备,预计将有超过18000名代表到访。
即使世界银行将泰国2026年的GDP增长率修正为2%,泰国的经济仍然面临困境。
越南经济增长速度超过泰国,有望在2029年实现净GDP超过泰国。
越南正大量吸引泰国的优质游客,而曼谷却在打击非法游客的行动中束手无策。
泰国曾经强大的旅游业正在衰落,如今又面临泰铢高估带来的进一步打击。
经济学家对泰铢在2025年出现异常且破坏性的上涨感到困惑,认为这将重创旅游业和出口。
泰国顶级银行家猛烈抨击当前经济状况,呼吁加强包容性经济。
约瑟夫·安东尼是一位来自爱尔兰的侨民,过去十年一直居住在泰国。他曾在爱尔兰和泰国的媒体行业担任过编辑职务,拥有丰富的媒体从业经验。他主要关注泰国的经济和商业新闻,以及侨民的生活方式。
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